Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Picks and Odds Jan 5
Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Predictions
WagerTalk NBA handicapper Andy Lang offers his Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors betting preview for Wednesday, January 5. At the time of posting, the Warriors have opened as a 5.5-point road favorite in Dallas, with the total sitting at 214.5 points.
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| Wednesday, January 5 | NBA Betting Notes |
|---|---|
| Point Spread: | Dallas Mavericks +5.5 vs Golden State Warriors |
| Total: | 214.5 Points |
| Game Time: | 7:40pm ET / 4:40pm PT |
| Arena: | American Airlines Center |
| TV: | ESPN |
Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Analysis
Interesting dynamics in the NBA now as teams are getting players back from COVID and injuries, and these teams are pretty good examples of that as Golden State is close to a full roster with Klay set to return soon, and Dallas has Doncic back and is only waiting for a couple more guys to return for them to have a full team.
Both are on short winning streaks as Golden State has won five out of six, and Dallas has won four out of five, but the books have the Warriors at -6 favorites with a total of 213 so let’s see if we expect a Warriors cover, a Mavericks upset, or something else off the radar to profit off of today.
The Warriors got Draymond back last game and he immediately made an impact with 13 assists as the Warriors beat the Heat by 7. The Warriors have had a different lineup every game for about 2.5 weeks so we won’t be looking at recent ATS or Totals trends, but before December 18th when they started losing players they were 13-3 with nine of those wins being double digits.
The last two games with somewhat of a full lineup the Warriors looked back to old form as they took out the Jazz (who had been on fire), and the Heat, both by 7 points. It’s worth noting that despite the lineup issues, in the last 6 wins by Golden State, they’ve scored 111 or more points in those victories (there’s a reason I bring this stat up).
Dallas has been without Doncic since December 10th, and they went 5-5 in that span with Porzingis taking over and putting up tons of points, rebounds and assists. Doncic returned on January 2nd, and they won the next two games, however against subpar opponents in OKC, and a slumping Denver team.
What we’ve been seeing from Dallas is a lack of explosion from the players outside of Doncic and Porzingis. In Doncic’s two games since his return, no player besides him has scored over 15 points, which works when you’re playing a depleted OKC team, or a struggling Denver team, but tonight they will be facing a Warriors team on the uptrend coming off of two solid wins against teams with better records than Dallas.
This is just a roster mismatch as Golden State is getting healthy and is falling back into the routine of playing elite defense combined with incredible team basketball on the offensive end, and Dallas has two wins against teams over .500 since November 16th. I don’t see them keeping up through four quarters as they are now last in pace of play, so they will certainly try and slow down the game, but they won’t hold Golden State in check for long as we’ve seen Golden State score 111 or more points in 6 straight wins, and Dallas has not scored more than 104 points in the last six games Doncic has played in. I’ll take Golden State to overwhelm Dallas tonight, and cover this -5.5.
OFFICIAL PLAY: Warriors -5.5
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Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Preview from GoldSheet
Dallas has won 6 of the last 7 SU and are 8-2 vs. the points last 10 against Golden State, but this is the first meeting between the Mavs and the “new and improved” Warriors. And Dallas fans didn’t have long to relish the return of G Luka Doncic, as after being rested on Sunday in anticipation of the back-to-back Monday against Denver Kristaps Porzingis tested positive for Covid and has entered the quarantine protocols. Still, the shorthanded Mavs have won 3 in a row SU and covered 4 of their last 6 and rank 1st in the league in defensive efficiency in the last 3 games and 5th in net efficiency, both numbers well ahead of Golden State’s 11th ranking in both categories. Play Dallas.
NBA Stat Sheet
Each day, WagerTalk handicapper Ralph Michaels puts together his NBA Stat Sheet, which offers a head-to-head comparison for how teams are performing in a number of key areas heading into a game. Check out Wednesday’s sheet, with notes on tonight’s Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors contest.
NBA Tip-Off Show
Join Joe Raineri and a rotating panel of guests for the NBA Tip-Off Show at 4:15pm ET / 1:15pm PT as we discuss tonight’s marquee games. Stay up-to-date on the latest NBA news, stats, analysis, and predictions with our panel of professional handicappers as they preview tonight’s NBA action, including this Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors clash, from a betting perspective.
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