Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans Predictions and Player Props January 31

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans Betting Preview

WagerTalk handicapper and renowned Daily Fantasy expert Ben Burns provides his predictions and a player prop from tonight’s showdown between the New Orleans Pelicans and the Denver Nuggets. The game will be featured on TNT. 

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This will mark the third meeting of the season but the first here in Denver. The Pelicans won big back in December. More recently, the Nuggets eked out a 1-point win when these teams met last week. Nikola Jokic hit the game-winning shot with 16.9 seconds remaining.

Both clubs could really use a victory. Still playing without Zion Williamson, the Pelicans have dropped eight straight. Denver’s 2-game skid is modest, by comparison.

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Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans Betting Odds

Tuesday, January 31	NBA Betting Notes, Courtesy of Caesars
Point Spread:	Denver Nuggets -6.5 vs New Orleans Pelicans
Total:	232 Points
Arena:	Ball Arena in Denver, CO
Game Time:	10:00pm ET / 7:00pm PT
TV:	TNT

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans Betting Analysis

The New Orleans Pelicans travel to Ball Center in Denver to take on the Nuggets. At first glance, this looks like a mismatch.

Not only have the Pelicans lost eight in a row but they’re also just 9-16 on the road. On the other hand, the Nuggets are an impressive 22-4, here in Denver.

A closer look shows that the Pelicans only get outscored by a 117.5 to 115.6 average score on the road. They’re generally competitive.

Denver averages more than 219 points at home. That’s ominous for New Orleans’ fans; the Pelicans are just 12-26-2 against the spread and 9-31 straight up their last 40, when facing an opponent which averages greater than 116 points per game.

After three straight on the road, the Nuggets will be happy to return home. They’re a poor 10-17-1 ATS the past couple of seasons, after playing their previous three on the road. With Golden State on deck, could they get caught looking past the lowly Pelicans?

Falling Total

I’m not touching the side in this game but I do quite like the total. You can find my O/U winner here.

The over/under line opened at 234 or 234.5. It’s fallen from that number and is currently sitting at 231 or 232, at most shops.

Both this season’s meetings have stayed below the total. Last week’s game was particularly low-scoring as the teams combined for only 195 points. While the majority of Denver home games have fallen below the total, the opposite is true of Pelican road games.

Battle of the Big Men

Jokic had a 25/11/10 stat-line in last week’s game. In this season’s first meeting, he had 32 points, 16 rebounds and nine assists.

Valanciunas got into foul trouble in the first game. He finished with only 13 points and two rebounds. He was better in last week’s game (14/9) but again saw limited minutes, due to foul trouble.

Cleary, this is a very tough matchup for Valanciunas. Though, to be fair, Jokic is a problem for everyone. Avoiding early fouls will be key

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans Player Prop Prediction

I’ve mentioned that Valanciunas has a tough matchup and that foul trouble may be an issue. I’ve also noted that Zion Williamson remains out.

With Ingram still working his way back from injury, the Pelicans’ points are going to have to come from somewhere. I expect C.J. McCollum to have a big game.

McCollum is averaging 24.9 points this month. He had 20 in last week’s game against the Nuggets, despite going 0-for-8 from beyond the arc.

If he even connected on one of those 3-point attempts, he would have exceeded this number. He’ll be better from “downtown” tonight and that should lead to him scoring more than 22 total points.

Player Prop Prediction: C.J. McCollum Points Over 22.5 -125 (Draft Kings)

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NBA Tip-Off Show | January 31

Join Joe Raineri and a rotating panel of professional handicappers for the NBA Tip-Off Show as we preview tonight’s NBA card from a betting perspective. We’ll go well beyond the Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans. Stay up-to-date on the latest NBA news, stats, analysis, and predictions with our panel of pro sports bettors as they offer some of their favorite NBA best bets, player props and DFS recommendations on tonight’s slate.

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