Expert Player Props For March 25, 2025 - Best NBA Props For Today

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Expert Player Props for Tuesday: LaMelo Ball, Hornets OVER 22.5 Points (-110)

Despite falling short of this line in a brutal matchup against the Miami Heat in his last game (18 Pts), LaMelo Ball has covered this line in 3 of his last 5 games.

Now he gets an easier matchup against an Orlando Magic team that has allowed the MOST points to opposing point guards during their last 15 games.

The Magic rank 25th in ISO defense and Cole Anthony is listed as doubtful, so Ball has the advantage over any defender in Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Cory Joseph or Anthony Black.

We have already seen Ball take advantage of the matchup against Orlando with 44 and 35 points on 27 and 30 field goal attempts in two November matchups where Antony was in action.

We can temper of expectations on that type of shot volume a bit considering Ball has averaged just shy of 20 FGA in his last 10 games.

However, we have seen plenty of guards take advantage of this defensive scheme recently with high volume including Luka Doncic (32 Pts/23 FGA), Jalen Green (26 Pts/18 FGA), Donovan Mitchell (23 Pts/26 FGA), Anthony Edwards (28 Pts/19 FGA) and Dame Lillard (26 Pts/18 FGA).

When Ball has taken 18+ field goal attempts, he’s cleared this line in 31 of 37 games this season. The spread is only -5 and Orlando is dealing with travel in a back-to-back situation so Charlotte should be able to hand around and give Ball ample time to beat this line.

Expert Player Props for Tuesday: Onyeka Okongwu, Hawks OVER 0.5 Three-pointer Made (-105)

Onyeka Okongwu has hit at least one three-pointer in each of his last four games and 6 of his last 7 games overall while averaging 1.6 three-pointer made per game.

During those 7 games, Okongwu has seen more volume with 2+ three-pointers attempted in 5 of his last 7 games and 3+ in 4 of his last 7 games.

In his lone game against the Houston Rockets in January, Okongwu went 1/2 from long distance as he buried a three on a busted drop coverage by Alperen Sengun in the first five minutes of the contest.

The Rockets are very stingy with threes allowed overall and to opposing centers, but they have allowed a three-pointer to an opposing center in 5 of their last 6 games (sometimes multiple) including Kel’el Ware (2), Oshae Brissett (1), Nikola Vucevic (3), Goga Bitadze/Wendell Carter (1 each) and Myles Turner/Thomas Bryant (4 & 2).

Okongwu’s ability to stretch the floor will get him some open looks and we only need one three-pointer to cash this ticket against a defense that has been lackadaisical against centers recently.

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