Nuggets vs Warriors Prop Bets and Parlay Odds April 21
Nuggets vs Warriors Predictions and Betting Preview
NBA prop betting specialist Andy Lang offers his Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors preview for Thursday, April 21. At the time of posting, The Warriors are a 2-point road favorite against the home Nuggets, with the total sitting at 223.5 points.
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| Thursday, April 21 | NBA Betting Notes |
|---|---|
| Point Spread: | Denver Nuggets +2 vs Golden State Warriors |
| Total: | 223.5 Points |
| Game Time: | 10:00pm ET / 7:00pm PT |
| Arena: | Ball Arena in Denver, CO |
| TV: | TNT |
Nuggets vs Warriors Analysis
*All lines provided by DraftKings
The Denver Nuggets hope some home cooking can turn the tide after falling behind the Golden State Warriors 2-0 in this best of seven first round series.
The Warriors prevailed in Game 2 with a 126-106 victory on Monday night. Golden State has looked incredible as they have won the first two games by an average of 18 points a game.
Tonight’s game is set to tip at 10:00pm EST. from Ball Arena. We will be tackling this game from a player props and team totals perspective.
Nuggets vs Warriors Team Total Props
The Golden State Warriors are favored by 2 points with a total of 223, setting the Nuggets team total at 110.5 and the Warriors at 112.5.
The first two games of this series have had nearly identical scores of 126-106 and 123-107 with the Warriors obviously coming out on top of both games.
Now that we are in the post-season and Draymond Green has his legs under him we are seeing that Warriors defense we have become accustomed to. They have made it a point to not let Nikola Jokic beat them. It’s possible that the Nuggets role players step it up at home, if not this could be a quick series.
The Warriors have scored well over 120 points in each game with limited minutes from Steph Curry, although Curry made the most of them last game with a game high 34 points. Their total being set at 112.5 seems a bit low, let’s go over.
Team Total Prop Play: Golden State Warriors Over 112.5
Nuggets vs Warriors Player Props
We have seen the emergence of a future superstar in Jordan Poole during these two games and the end of the regular season. Poole has scored 29 & 30 points on a combined 19 for 29 from the field.
The Warriors have done an amazing job defending and limiting Nikola Jokic. He has fallen well below his Points + Rebounds + Assists total in both games.
However I feel like he might go off at home so taking his unders may be playing with fire. However his teammate Aaron Gordon has been non-existent in this series. He’s shot a pathetic 6 for 19 from the field and 1 for 7 from beyond the arc.
He has totaled only 15 & 13 PRA’s and his PRA total is set high at 22.5. Seems like the books are late to adjusting this line. Let’s go under.
Player Prop Play: Aaron Gordon Under 22.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists
Nuggets vs Warriors First Basket Prediction
We always take our top player prop lowered or raised as much as possible, however it looks like DK isn’t going to let us use any Gordon unders on same game parlays.
As a matter of fact they aren’t allowing many unders in general. Let’s shift gears and take a shot on Nikola Jokic scoring the first basket at +280.
Obviously he will be in the mix on the Nuggets first possession. Being at home and down 2-0 he will surely be aggressive. It’s a shot in the dark, but without unders available in the SGP market I’m taking big plus money on Jokic scoring first.
First Basket Scorer: Nikola Jokic +280
NBA Stat Sheet
Each day, WagerTalk handicapper Ralph Michaels puts together his NBA Stat Sheet, which offers a head-to-head comparison for how teams are performing in a number of key areas heading into a game. Check out Thursday’s sheet, with notes on tonight’s Nuggets vs Warriors playoff contest.
NBA Tip-Off Show
Join Joe Raineri and a rotating panel of professional handicappers for the NBA Tip-Off Show every Monday-Friday at 4:15pm ET / 1:15pm PT as we discuss tonight’s marquee games. Stay up-to-date on the latest NBA news, stats, analysis, and predictions with our panel of pro sports bettors as they preview all the playoff action, including this Nuggets vs Warriors clash.
WagerTalk NBA Odds Screen
WagerTalk’s live odds screen features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track the NBA point spreads, moneylines, first half lines and betting percentages for all of Thursday’s NBA Playoff games, including this Nuggets vs Warriors showdown, from your desktop or phone.
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Meet the Author
Andy Lang has lived in Indianapolis his whole life, and like most people from the Hoosier State, he became fascinated with motor sports. That interest in motor sports turned into a desire to make money off the sport through fantasy contests and sports betting. Like most, he took his lumps when he first got started, but now he is one of the most respected NASCAR bettors in the industry. Andy has expanded that sports betting experience to become profitable in a number of other sports, transforming this interest from a side hobby to a major source of income.
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