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2024-25 NFL MVP Odds, Picks and Predictions

Joe Burrow attempts to hit NFL Totals prop for the Bengals

Pre-Season NFL MVP Betting Advice For The 2024-25 Season!

Sportsmemo’s Steve Seagrave drops his betting knowledge surrounding the 2024-25 NFL MVP Award including his picks and predictions on who will lift the hardware come the end of the season! Who has the best odds to win? What are some key betting trends to keep an eye on? Get Steve’s NFL MVP picks and predictions below!

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2024-25 NFL MVP Odds (DraftKings)

Patrick Mahomes Kansas City +475

CJ Stroud Houston +850 

Josh Allen Buffalo +900 

Joe Burrow Cincinnati +900

Jordan Love Green Bay +1400

Jalen Hurts Philadelphia +1500

Lamar Jackson Baltimore +1500

Aaron Rodgers New York Jets +1600

Brock Purdy San Francisco +1600 

Dak Prescott Dallas +1700

Past NFL MVP Winners

2023: Lamar Jackson Baltimore

2022: Patrick Mahomes Kansas City

2021: Aaron Rodgers Green Bay

2020: Aaron Rodgers Green Bay

2019: Lamar Jackson Baltimore

2018: Patrick Mahomes Kansas City

NFL Regular Season MVP Trends

*The quarterback position has dominated the MVP, winning the award in each of the last 11 seasons and 16 of the last 17 seasons. The last non-quarterback to win the award was Adrian Peterson in 2012.

*Lamar Jackson won the MVP last season, he and Patrick Mahomes will both be looking to become the 7th player to win three MVPs.

Only two players have won more than three: Peyton Manning (5) and Aaron Rodgers (4). During the last six seasons, Jackson, Mahomes and Rodgers have each won two MVPs.

*Eleven players have won the Super Bowl and MVP in the same season and all but four of those also won the Super Bowl MVP.

2024-25 NFL MVP Predictions

The Cincinnati Bengals are currently ranked 5th (+1300) in terms of favorites to win the Super Bowl this coming season and 3rd in the AFC behind only Kansas City and Baltimore.

Injuries have slowed Joe Burrow’s progress in two of his four seasons but when he is healthy and on the field, he is still ranks among the elite quarterbacks in the league.

Burrow owns a 5-1 record against Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen in his career which shows his ability to compete with the best.

The Bengals were one win away from the Super Bowl two years ago and this season seems like a Super Bowl or bust scenario. The key offensive weapons are in the final years of their contracts as Tee Higgins has been franchise tagged and Ja’Marr Chase only has two years left on his deal.

Veteran running back Joe Mixon has moved on to the Houston Texans and Zach Moss has taken over starting running back duties which could put the ball in Burrow’s hands more often. If Burrow stays healthy and the Bengals return to form Burrow will have a strong case to win his first MVP award.

2024-25 NFL MVP Best Bet: Joe Burrow +900

2024-25 NFL MVP Longshot Prediction

Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa was having an MVP-caliber season in 2022 before multiple concussions derailed his season.

Despite the injuries, he still led the NFL in QB rating, touchdown rate and yards per attempt. Tagovailoa continued to play strong in 2023 and as long as he has weapons like Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle, he should be viewed as a threat to win the MVP.

His +2500-price tag is appealing considering it groups him amongst players like Justin Herbert, Anthony Richardson and Trevor Lawrence.

2024-25 NFL MVP Longshot: Tua Tagovailoa +2500

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