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Chiefs vs Vikings Week 5 Player Prop Predictions, Prop Picks

K.J. Osborn misses catch before Chiefs vs Vikings Week 5 game

Chiefs vs Vikings Prop Predictions:

NFL prop expert Andy Lang offers his expert betting prediction and player prop picks for Chiefs vs Vikings Week 5 kicking off on October 8 at 4:25pm ET. What are they looking at from a player prop betting perspective? Get his NFL betting analysis now!

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Chiefs vs Vikings Prop Pick 1: K.J. Osborn

Minnesota Vikings wide receiver K.J. Osborn has caught 8 of his 17 targets for 117 yards and two touchdowns through the first four games of the 2023 campaign.

Osborn has seen his targets decrease in back-to-back weeks with only two last week and three the week prior after being targeted 6 times in Weeks 1 and 2.

It makes sense considering that Osburn is the 4th option in Vikings passing game behind players like Justin Jefferson, TJ Hockenson and Jordan Addison.

Regardless, Osborn has fallen sort of this total in 3 of 4 games with only 31, 34, 36 and 16 yards. The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has been top notch, ranking 8th with only 190.5 passing yards allowed per game.

You could make the argument that Osborn would get extra looks while Chiefs defenders are preoccupied with Jefferson and company.

However, outside of in the red area Osborn has become an afterthought for quarterback Kirk Cousins. Give me the under on Osborn’s receiving yards for Week 5.

Chiefs vs Vikings Prop Pick 1: K.J. Osborn UNDER 34.5 Rec Yds -125

Chiefs vs Vikings Prop Pick 2: Minnesota Vikings Team Total UNDER 23.5 (+100)

At first glance this seems like a matchup built to be a high-scoring affair with the total set at 53. However, the way the Kansas City Chiefs defense is playing to start the season this total is set way too high.

The under has actually hit in 3 of 4 Minnesota Vikings games and 2 of 4 Chiefs games so far this season. The Vikings love airing the ball out and have been one of the elite passing offenses in the league, but this will be their biggest test to date.

The Chiefs pass defense has allowed the 8th fewest passing yards with only 190.5 per game. Kansas City could force Minnesota to utilize a running game that has struggled with only 83.5 yards per game (5th least in the NFL).

The Vikings have fallen short of this total in 2 of their 4 games with only 17, 28, 24 and 21 points. The 21 points came in their first victory against the Carolina Panthers last week and the Chiefs present a tougher challenge.

The Chiefs have held all four of their opponents under this number with only 21, 9, 10 and 20 points allowed. The high of 21 came against a strong offensive unit in the Detroit Lions on opening night.

This is just a different Chiefs defense that we are accustomed to, and the Vikings offense is completely one dimensional. Let’s fire away on the Minnesota team total under 23.5 at even money.

Chiefs vs Vikings Predictions: Best Betting Odds & Game Info

Sunday, October 8NFL Week 5 Betting Notes (Courtesy of Caesars)
Spread:Kansas City Chiefs -4 vs Minnesota Vikings
Total:52.5 (Over -110 / Under -110)
Game Time:4:25pm ET / 1:25pm PT
Arena:U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, MN
TV:CBS

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