Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers Picks and Predictions Week 12

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Preview

WagerTalk NFL handicapper Andy Lang offers his Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers Titans NFL Week 12 betting preview for Sunday, November 28. At the time of posting, the Bengals are a 4.5-point home favorite over the visiting Steelers, with the total sitting at 45 points.

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Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers Predictions

• Cincinnati Bengals -4.5 vs Pittsburgh Steelers
• Total: 45 Points
• Pittsburgh has won 11 of the last 13 meetings in this series.
• The Steelers are 10-3 against the spread in their last 13 games as an underdog.
• Cincinnati has failed to cover the spread in each of their last three home games.

Big game in the AFC North, as the Bengals are a half game up on Pittsburgh, and they own the tie breaker due to the 24-10 win in Week 3. The Steelers are coming off the very rare trifecta in finishes the last three weeks…a Win, Tie and Loss. The Bengals are coming off a dominating win against a Raiders team that looks very close to giving up on the season, but lost big to Cleveland and to the Jets the previous two weeks. Maybe the bye week helped them out as they came out strong against Las Vegas, and they’ll need to stay focused as they have a really tough schedule upcoming starting with Pittsburgh, then LAC, SF, DEN, BALT, KC, CLE. Pittsburgh is in the same position as they get Cincy followed by BALT, MIN, TEN, KC, CLE, and BALT. So this game is crucial for both.

The Bengals came out of the bye week with intentions on running the ball, and they did exceptional with it as Mixon went for 123 yards on the ground. Pittsburgh is a great rush defense, but last week gave up a shocking 90 yards to Justin Herbert. The running backs only combined for 17 rushes for 69 yards rushing, but the secondary of Pittsburg was terrible as Herbert went for 382 yards passing. Looking at the Pittsburgh stats, on paper they appear to get great at pass defense, but before Herbert they faced Jared Goff, Justin Fields, Baker Mayfield, Geno Smith and Teddy Bridgewater.

Based on what Herbert did and the previous competition, I believe Cincy may have their eyes set on passing the ball and mixing in Mixon for a balanced attack, and with Pittsburgh only allowing 90 yards a game rushing it could be a tough, physical matchup at the line of scrimmage. Burrow is having a good, not great year and only has two games over 300 yards this year. He didn’t need to do much last week against the Raiders, but moving forward they’re going to need him to perform well.

For the Pittsburgh offense, it’s been reliant on Najee Harris and I predicted last week he was being used too much and to expect lower production. Before going out of the game, he only averaged 3.3 yards a carry on 12 carries, and only averaged 4 yards a reception. Harris should be ok to play this week, and they’ll need him as Roethlisberger has been less than impressive this year. He had a good game against the Chargers as he utilized short passes and Yards After Catch to accumulate 273 yards passing. He still has gone six games in a row without over 275 yards passing.

We are dealing with two teams who know each other very well, and who matchup very well against each other. Solid run games, above average wide receiving corps, and decent quarterbacks.

Just take the points with the Steelers. This is a close game, and the Steelers and Mike Tomlin are historically great as underdogs. Tomlin is above .500 straight up, and while Big Ben isn’t elite he’s still got something left in the tank. Getting over a field goal is a lot in a close rivalry game with divisional opponents who know each other so well. Value is on +4 with Pittsburgh, and if you’re taking the points…don’t forget to sprinkle the money line on Pittsburgh.

Official Play: Steelers +4

💰 Reminder: There are three editions of #BetOnIt this week: 1) College; 2) Thanksgiving games; 3) Sunday games. Here’s the Sunday edition as @kellyinvegas @MarcoInVegas @Greek_Gambler and @CalSportsLV break down the #NFL Week 12 betting slate.https://t.co/v2zROn4aTq

— WagerTalk (@WagerTalk) November 25, 2021

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers Analysis from The GoldSheet

This is a double-revenge game for Pittsburgh, as the Bengals won last season’s 2nd meeting 27-17 at home on Monday night on Dec. 21, with RB Giovanni Bernard scoring a couple of TDs, and substitute QB Ryan Finley completing a modest 7 of 13 passes for 89 YP with a TD pass, 47 YR and a 23-yard TD run and no interceptions, with both Joe Burrow and Brandon Allen unavailable. This year’s first encounter was on Sept. 26, and both starting QBs were ready to go, and Roethlisberger connected on 38 of 58 throws for 318 yds, but only 1 TD and 2 interceptions, while Joe Burrow was an efficient 14 of 18 for 172 yds., but he had 3 TDs and just 1 int., while rookie sensation WR Ja’Marr Chase had 2 TD catches including a 34-yard strike that gave the Bengals a lead they would not relinquish.

After a semi-humiliating tie with Detroit, and last week’s inspiring rally (yet ultimate loss) at the Chargers, expect Steelers to make it click this week in revenge mode. A loss puts the Steelers at least 2 back in the win column in the AFC North, possibly in the cellar if the Browns win as well, so points worth taking with backs-to-the-wall Pittsburgh. Play the Steelers.

NFL Week 12 Opening Line Report

In this week’s edition of The Opening Line Report, Teddy Covers and Drew Martin recap Sunday’s action before breaking down the NFL Week 12 betting market from three key angles: a) What were the look-ahead lines from last week; b) Where did the lines re-open after Sunday’s action; c) Where the lines are heading before kickoff this week. Join Teddy and Drew every Monday at 1pm ET / 10am PT for this informative NFL betting exercise. In this week’s edition, we cover the Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers game at the 29:30 timestamp.

WagerTalk Live Odds Screen

WagerTalk’s live odds screen features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track the moneylines, point spreads, first half lines and betting percentages for all of the NFL Week 12 games, including this Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers showdown, from your desktop or phone.

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