Dave Cokin’s NFL Week 4 Betting Notes

NFL Week 4 Betting Preview

WagerTalk handicapper Dave Cokin offers analysis on games that just missed his NFL Week 4 betting card. Each week on Twitter, Dave shares the games that fell just outside his comfort zone. Here, he expands upon those games with reasons why he was drawn in a particular direction, and why ultimately he decided to pass.

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NFL Week 4 Notes

Again, just to reiterate: As of Saturday afternoon, these are games that I have not bet. I am simply sharing some of my notes that may, perhaps, assist in your handicapping as you break down the NFL Week 4 card.

Washington Football -1.5 at Atlanta Falcons: I would have taken the Washington Football Team as a ‘dog as they’re better than the Falcons on my numbers. But the oddsmakers also feel that way and I can’t back the visitors even as minimal chalk.

Kansas City Chiefs -6.5 at Philadelphia Eagles: Sure looks like the right spot for Kansas City against a Phllly offense that looked awful on Monday and might just be this bad. My holdup is the fact the Chiefs just aren’t playing well and they’re 0-3 against the spread. I need to see a solid 60 minutes from Kansas City before I can back them as substantial chalk.

Arizona Cardinals +4 at LA Rams: This Rams vs Cardinals game might be the best game of the day. Had the look ahead Rams -6 line held up, I probably would have taken the Cardinals. But +4 just not quite enough to invest.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers -7 at New England Patriots: The entire planet is on the Bucs and the ticket count disparity on this game is incredible. But the market might just have this one right. I tried to find a way to justify a public fade but could not come up with one. I would have laid -5.5 with the Bucs, but will pass at -7.

Here’s the NFL free selection for Week 4. All my current pending plays are up at @WagerTalk https://t.co/crCpGZvtUv along with details on the site wide October special. pic.twitter.com/1RIbNzSHQb

— Dave Cokin (@davecokin) September 30, 2021

NFL Week 4 Analysis from The GoldSheet

For over 60 years, The GoldSheet has been providing NFL and college football bettors with valuable trends and historical information to help them reach the ticket window every weekend. Check out the NFL Week 4 betting trends and angles that are applicable to this week’s games:

• Seattle is 1-7 against the spread in the Seahawks’ last eight road games.
• Since Sean McVay arrived in Los Angeles, the Rams are 8-0 straight-up, 7-1 against the spread vs Arizona.
• The Steelers are 10-3 against the spread as an underdog ins 2019.
• Eight of Baltimore’s last 11 road games have stayed under the total.
• The under is 14-6 in New England’s last 20 games.
• Home favorites of less than a touchdown have gone 4-16 against the spread so far this season.
• The under is 14-4-1 in the Giants’ last 19 games.
• The Giants are 10-1 against the spread as a road underdog dating back to 2019.
• The last six meetings between Seattle and San Francisco have gone over the total.
• The under is 11-4 in the Jets’ last 15 games.
• Kansas City is 2-12 against the spread in the Chiefs’ last 14 games.
• The over is 13-5 in Minnesota’s last 18 games.
• Chicago is 2-5 against the spread in the Bears’ last seven games as a home favorite.

NFL Week 4 Opening Line Report

What have we learned through the first three weeks of the 2021 NFL season? In this week’s edition of The Opening Line Report, Teddy Covers and Drew Martin recap Sunday’s action before breaking down the NFL Week 4 betting market from three key angles: a) What were the look-ahead lines from last week; b) Where did the lines re-open after Sunday’s action; c) Where the lines are heading before kickoff this week. Join Teddy and Drew every Monday for this informative NFL betting exercise.

WagerTalk Live Odds Screen

WagerTalk’s live odds screen features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track the NFL Week 4 moneylines, point spreads, first half lines, public betting percentages and so much more from your desktop or phone.

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