Dave Cokin's NFL Week 7 Betting Notes

NFL Week 7 Betting Preview

WagerTalk handicapper Dave Cokin offers analysis on games that just missed his NFL Week 7 betting card. Each week on Twitter, Dave shares the games that fell just outside his comfort zone. Here, he expands upon those games with reasons why he was drawn in a particular direction, and why ultimately he decided to pass.

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NFL Week 7 Betting Leans

Again, just to reiterate: As of Friday afternoon, these are games that I have not bet. I am simply sharing some of my notes that may, perhaps, assist in your handicapping as you break down the NFL Week 7 card.

Kansas City Chiefs -4.5 at Tennessee Titans – Not a bad spot from a situational standpoint, but you can’t feel good about backing Kansas City until they issue some kind of buy sign. That certainly has not appeared yet.

Miami Dolphins +2.5 vs Atlanta Falcons – Miami was the luckiest team in the NFL last season and the regression to the norm has been brutal. I have the Dolphins a winner on the projections, but I can’t pull the trigger, particularly against a rested Falcons squad.

San Francisco 49ers -4 vs Indianapolis Colts – This was probably my closest call in terms of almost making the card. I would have played San Francisco at -3, but disciplined approach keeps me off at -4.

Small stuff tonight in MLB and NHL. Seven colleges remain along with two in the NFL. Free plays in both college and NFL plus everything else up at @WagerTalk https://t.co/crCpGZvtUv

— Dave Cokin (@davecokin) October 22, 2021

NFL Week 7 Historical Trends from The GoldSheet

New England has won 11-straight meetings with the New York Jets.
The under is 15-7 in New England’s last 22 games.
Cincinnati is 7-3-1 against the spread as an underdog with Joe Burrow at the helm.
Kansas City is 4-13 against the spread in the Chiefs’ last 17 games.
Carolina is 8-2 against the spread in the Panthers’ last ten road games.
The New York Giants are 5-12 against the spread in their last 17 home games.
The over is 6-2 in the Cardinals’ last eight home games.
Since the opening of Allegiant Stadium the Raiders are 4-7 against the spread at home.
Six of the Raiders’ last seven home games have gone over the total.
The over is 8-2 in the Colts’ last ten road games.
San Francisco is 1-6 against the spread in the 49ers’ last seven home games.
The under is 11-4 in the Seahawks’ last 15 games

Bet On It: NFL Week 7 Edition

The barking dogs, sandwiches, teasers, and steam plays are back! Join Kelly, Marco, Gianni and Ralph every Wednesday for Bet On It as we discuss the NFL Week 7 slate from a variety of betting angles.

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