Kansas City Chiefs vs San Francisco 49ers Predictions and Picks | NFL Week 7
The Week 7 matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and the San Francisco 49ers is a highly anticipated Super Bowl rematch. Kansas City comes into the game undefeated, but there are signs that this streak might not last much longer.
On the other side, the San Francisco 49ers are the 1-point favorites, and bettors are wondering why the bookmakers are leaning towards the 49ers despite Kansas City’s perfect record.
This article will provide predictions and betting insights based on the video analysis and the 2024-2025 NFL season performance of both teams.
Kansas City Chiefs: Undefeated But Showing Signs of Weakness
The Kansas City Chiefs are undefeated this season, but their performances have been far from flawless. Led by Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City has found themselves in tight spots multiple times, barely pulling out victories in a few games.
While Mahomes’ reputation as a top-tier quarterback remains intact, his stats this season haven’t been as impressive as usual.
Mahomes’ Mixed Performance
Patrick Mahomes has thrown for 1,235 yards this season with 6 touchdowns and 6 interceptions. While these numbers are solid, they aren’t what we typically expect from Mahomes, who has shown some struggles, especially when under pressure.
His connection with Travis Kelce hasn’t been as explosive as past seasons either, with Kelce posting 24 receptions for 228 yards but zero touchdowns so far.
Early Season Close Calls
Despite their undefeated record, Kansas City could easily have been 0-3 to start the season:
- In Week 1, a controversial overturned touchdown helped them escape with a win against the Ravens.
- In Week 2, a phantom pass interference call allowed them to pull off a last-minute victory.
- In Week 3, the Falcons passed on field goal opportunities, allowing Kansas City to hold on for another close win.
Although Kansas City is undefeated, their early games suggest vulnerabilities that San Francisco might be able to exploit.
San Francisco 49ers: Playing With Motivation
The San Francisco 49ers enter this game seeking revenge for their Super Bowl loss to Kansas City, and they are favored by 1 point in this rematch. While Kansas City has more wins, San Francisco has been solid this season and will be playing with home-field advantage, looking to expose Kansas City’s weaknesses.
Defensive Edge for San Francisco
San Francisco’s defense has been one of the strongest in the league, allowing only 3.5 yards per play this season. This defense will be key to containing Mahomes, who has struggled with turnovers.
The 49ers have shown that they can limit passing offenses, and this might be the deciding factor in the game.
In comparison to Kansas City, San Francisco has performed better against common opponents this season, including limiting teams to significantly fewer yards, particularly in the passing game.
Motivational and Situational Edge
This game carries extra significance for the 49ers due to their Super Bowl loss to Kansas City. Motivation, home-field advantage, and a desire to prove themselves will fuel their performance.
As the 49ers are slight favorites, this could indicate the confidence bookmakers have in San Francisco to capitalize on Kansas City’s recent close calls and less-than-dominant wins.
Key Matchup: Mahomes vs. San Francisco Defense
The most critical element of this game will be how Patrick Mahomes handles San Francisco’s defense. Mahomes has thrown as many interceptions as touchdowns this season, and San Francisco’s defense excels at limiting big plays and forcing mistakes.
If San Francisco’s defensive line can put pressure on Mahomes, this will be a long day for Kansas City.
On the other side of the ball, San Francisco’s offense, led by Brock Purdy and a dynamic run game, will look to exploit any weaknesses in the Kansas City defense, which has given up several close calls this season.
Predictions: San Francisco on the Moneyline
While Kansas City remains undefeated, there are enough cracks in their performances to suggest that San Francisco has a real chance to win this game.
The 49ers are playing with added motivation, and their defense will look to contain Mahomes. Based on situational analysis and the video, the best bet is to take San Francisco on the moneyline.
- Pick: San Francisco Moneyline (-110)
San Francisco’s defense and home-field advantage should be enough to push them over the top in this tight matchup.
Best Bets for Kansas City Chiefs vs. San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco Moneyline (-110)
The 49ers are motivated by their Super Bowl loss, and their defense has shown they can limit high-powered offenses. Kansas City’s vulnerability in close games makes this a strong bet.
Under 47 Total Points (-110)
Both teams are capable of scoring, but with San Francisco’s strong defense and Mahomes’ struggles, this game could stay under the projected 47 points.
First Half Spread: San Francisco -0.5
The 49ers have been strong in the first half of games, while Kansas City has often needed second-half comebacks. Betting on San Francisco to lead at halftime offers good value.
Final Thoughts: Betting Insights for Kansas City Chiefs vs. San Francisco 49ers
This Week 7 showdown between the Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers is shaping up to be one of the best games of the week.
Kansas City may be undefeated, but their close calls and Mahomes’ mixed performances suggest that they are vulnerable. San Francisco’s defense, combined with home-field advantage and motivation from their Super Bowl loss, gives them a solid edge.
The best bet for this game is to take San Francisco on the moneyline, with the under 47 total points also offering good value. Bettors should also consider the first-half spread for San Francisco, as they’ve been consistently strong to start games.
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