New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills Picks, Predictions and Props | NFL Week 13
New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills Analysis
The New England Patriots and Buffalo Bills will kick off NFL Week 13 with their Thursday Night Football matchup at 8:15pm ET. Although the Patriots are last in the AFC East, they’re 6-5 and only two games out of the first place Bills sitting at 8-3 with WagerTalk NFL prop handicapper Andy Lang giving his betting breakdown.
Find free NFL picks all season long from Wagertalk.
New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills Odds
| Thursday, December 1 | NFL Week 13 Betting Notes |
|---|---|
| Point Spread: | New England Patriots +3.5 vs Buffalo Bills |
| Total: | o/u 43.5 Points |
| Location: | Gillette Stadium in Foxboro, MA |
| Game Time: | 8:15pm ET / 5:15pm PT (Odds Above Courtesy of DraftKings) |
| TV: | Prime Video |
New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills Preview
The Buffalo Bills visit Gillette Stadium to kickoff Week 13 of the NFL Schedule against the New England Patriots on Thursday night football. The Patriots lost a 33-26 shootout on the road against the Minnesota Vikings on Thanksgiving night.
The Bills played the early game on Thanksgiving and beat the Detroit Lions 28-25 on a last second field goal. This is the first of two games between division rivals that will meet again on January 8th in Buffalo.
The Bills won 33-21 on December 26th in the most recent regular season matchup while also crushing New England 47-17 in the AFC Wild Card game. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 PM EST/5:15 PST.
Bills Eye Third Straight Victory
The Buffalo Bills improved to 8-3 on the season after winning their second game in Detroit in the span of five days 28-25 over the Lions. It was a back-and-forth game with eight ties or lead changes.
Josh Allen threw for 253 yards with two touchdowns and an interception while also running for 78 yards and a touchdown on 10 carries. Isaiah McKenzie was his leading receiver with 6 grabs for 96 yards and a touchdown.
The Bills are second in the league in scoring offense with 28.1 points per game while ranking #3 in passing and 8th in rushing. Buffalo isn’t to shabby on defense either, where they rank 5th with only 18.1 points allowed per game.
Josh Allen leads this team in passing and running with 3,183 yards, 23 touchdowns & 11 interceptions through the air and 561 yards & five touchdowns on the ground. Linebacker Von Miller has already been ruled out after a knee injury on Thanksgiving.
Several are questionable due to illness including safeties Damar Hamlin & Jaquan Johnson, cornerback Dane Jackson and tight end Quintin Morris. A big plus was linebacker Tremaine Edmunds returning to practice after missing the last two games with a groin & heel injury.
Patriot Games
The New England Patriots record dipped to 6-5 on the season which puts them in last place in a loaded AFC East despite having a winning record.
The Patriots had won three straight and five of their last six games prior to the wake up call in Minnesota. New England ended the 3rd quarter with a 26-23 lead only to be outscored 10-0 in the final frame and end up with a loss.
The Patriots out gained the Vikings by nearly 50 yards but lost the time of possession battle 36:17 to 23.43. The Pats offense scores 21.7 points per game good for 18th in the league while ranking 19th in passing & 23rd in rushing.
Quarterback Mac Jones has experienced some growing pains in what could be a sophomore slump with six touchdowns & seven interceptions on the season. Jones has been running for his life as he’s been sacked 24 times.
The Patriot defense is elite, they holding opponents to 21.7 points per game ranking 6th in the NFL. Running back Damien Harris (thigh) and tackle Isaiah Wynn (foot) are both expected to miss this contest.
Center David Andrews (calf) and wide receivers DeVante Parker (knee) & Jakobi Meyers (shoulder) are all questionable.
New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills Prediction
The Buffalo Bills are 3.5 point road favorites over the New England Patriots with a total set at 43.5. This game will be one of the more entertaining matchups on Thursday night football in some time between two battling for position in the AFC East.
Josh Allen always seem to bring his A-game against the Patriots and his passing yards total is set at 268.5. The Patriots defense is elite and they do a amazing job shutting down the pass, but look at who they have faced.
Quarterbacks like Jared Goff, Sam Ehlinger, Mitchell Trubisky and Zach Wilson have fallen well short of this total while more talented quarterbacks like Justin Fields, Kirk Cousins and Jacoby Brissett have flown over the total.
Heck, even Zach Wilson threw for 355 in one of his two chances against New England. What it comes down to is volume and I see Allen throwing as the Patriots put a spy on him to shut down his rushing attack.
I don’t see much from Devin Singletary on the ground either. Allen has thrown for 300+ yards in 3 of his last 4 starts against the Pats with 320, 145, 314 and 308 passing yards. The 145 yard outlier was the notorious “wind game” where opposing quarterback Mac Jones literally attempted only three passes.
Allen is always aggressive against New England and there won’t be any weather issues whatsoever. We get a nice low passing total to take advantage of based on how dominant the Patriots defense has been.
Prediction: Josh Allen Over 268.5 Passing Yards -115 Draftkings
Bet On It | NFL Week 13
The barking dogs, sandwiches, and teasers are back! Join Kelly, Marco, Joe, Ralph, Andy and Ariel every Wednesday for Bet On It as we break down the National Football League slate from a variety of betting angles.
NFL Odds Board
WagerTalk’s Live Odds Screen features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track the NFL point spreads, totals and betting percentages for all of the Week 13 games, including this New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills showdown, from your desktop or phone.
**************************************************
Meet the Author
Andy Lang has lived in Indianapolis his whole life, and like most people from the Hoosier State, he became fascinated with motor sports. That interest in motor sports turned into a desire to make money off the sport through fantasy contests and sports betting. Like most, he took his lumps when he first got started, but now he is one of the most respected NASCAR bettors in the industry. Andy has expanded that sports betting experience to become profitable in a number of other sports, transforming this interest from a side hobby to a major source of income.
Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?
- Latest Betting Odds and Public Action: Vegas lines updated in real time, including who the public is betting on.
- Last Minute Handicapping Advice: Check out our extensive library of handicapping tips and advice from professional Vegas handicappers (we also recommend taking the time to look over our sports betting tips video library)
- Want an expert opinion? Check out the latest Free Sports Picks and Best Bets from our team of expert sports handicappers.
Make sure to bookmark all the above!
