Packers vs Cowboys Predictions, Picks and Best Bets

Green Bay Packers vs Dallas Cowboys Prediction: The Betting Analysis

NFL content contributor Ron Marmalefsky offers his expert betting prediction and picks for the Packers vs Cowboys NFL Wildcard matchup kicking off on Sunday January 14th at 4:30pm ET. What is Ron looking at from a betting perspective? Get his NFL Wildcard betting analysis now!

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Packers Strengths and Weaknesses

Green Bay Strengths:

Jordan Love has become a vastly different player over the 2^nd half of the season, and is currently on an 18-1 touchdown to interception run. The 3^rd down success rate has soared, now up to 47%. Green Bay had a solid 45-30 sack ratio. A healthy Aaron Jones has revitalized the run game (4.6 per carry).

Green Bay Weaknesses:

The Packers still have occasional troubles stopping the run, although they just held Chicago and Justin Fields in check. The pass defense was not as good as it could be (injuries contributed), coming in at 65.4%. There was some inconsistency in the kicking game.

Cowboys Strengths and Weaknesses

Dallas Strengths:

Dak Prescott had a top five QB season, and led the NFL (easily) with 36 TD passes. WR Lamb was top five as well. Their 3^rd down success rate of 48% was no surprise.

Dallas Weaknesses:

RB Pollard was a workhorse, but because his role changed from 2022, his yards-per-carry suffered significantly (4.1) and in a slight surprise, his yards-per-reception was mediocre (5.7). Dallas is usually in the top five at protecting its QB. They allowed 40 sacks this season.

Packers vs Cowboys Prediction: The PICK

There’s not really a good storyline for this game. Dallas went 8-0 at home in 2023. The pressure is on this organization to make a deep run in the playoffs.

I’m looking at two possible outcomes. If Dak cannot be stopped, then Dallas might put a beatdown on Green Bay.

Conversely, if Dallas feels the pressure, this becomes a much closer game. Depending on which side of the fence you fall on (and if you agree with my assessment), the Dallas backers could consider an alternate line play (-13.5 or 14.5 at favorable odds), while Green Bay backers might take +3.5 or +2.5 with favorable odds. It’s risky, but shop around for value, as alternate line prices still vary by company.

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