Most Passing Yards 2023 Season – NFL Futures Player Props
2023 NFL Most Passing Yards Prop
The NFL regular season is less than three months away and it’s time to start digging through futures player props markets. For the purposes of this article, we will examine which NFL quarterback will have the most passing yards in this upcoming 2023 season.
Stay on top of the latest NFL updates direct from Las Vegas!
| 2023 NFL Quarterbacks | Odds to Have Most NFL Passing Yards |
|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes | +475 |
| Justin Herbert | +700 |
| Joe Burrow | +700 |
| Josh Allen | +1100 |
| Kirk Cousins | +1100 |
| Tua Tagovailoa | +1300 |
| Trevor Lawrence | +1400 |
| Jared Goff | +1800 |
| Deshaun Watson | +1800 |
| Derek Carr | +2000 |
Most Passing Yards Player Prop Sleeper Prediction
This is a tough category to find a true sleeper as it’s hard to imagine anyone outside of the top ten even sniffing the top spot. I strongly considered Kirk Cousins but didn’t feel as that he fit the mold of a sleeper with the 5th most likely odds to lead the league.
Derek Carr is coming off a down year in 2022 but did finish in 5th place during the 2021 campaign with a career-high 4,804 passing yards.
A change of scenery where the New Orleans Saints let Carr air it out more should certainly benefit his production.
Carr will have one of the best receiving running backs in the game in his backfield with Alvin Kamara and wide receiver Chris Olave finished his rookie campaign with 72 receptions for 1,042 yards. Admittedly this is a long shot, but what do you expect from a +2000 sleeper play?
Most Passing Yards Sleeper Prediction: Derek Carr +2000
Most Passing Yards Player Prop Bust Prediction
Injuries always have to be a concern when it comes to predictions on futures and concussions are at the top of that list.
Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa has reportedly bulked up and worked on his falling technique during the offseason after dealing with multiple head and neck injuries during the 2022 campaign.
However, those weren’t his first brushes with injuries and every time he leaves the pocket Fins fans and Tua backers will hold their collective breath.
The Dolphins skill positions are loaded between wideouts Tyreek Hill & Jaylen Waddle and running backs Raheem Mostert & Devon Achane. However, the injury concerns are enough for me to question Tua sitting at the 6th spot for favorites to lead the NFL in passing yards.
Most Passing Yards Bust Prediction: Tua Tagovailoa +1300
Most Passing Yards Player Prop Best Prediction
Any quarterback list for passing yard leaders that doesn’t mention Patrick Mahomes is incorrect as he has led the league once, finished top ten every year and only missed the top three twice in his five seasons as a starter.
However, I’m looking toward his division rival in Justin Herbert at much better odds. Herbert finished his rookie season at 6th in passing yards and followed that up with a 2nd place finish in his sophomore campaign.
Last season he finished #2 once again, despite banged up receivers, a rib injury and a check down loving play caller. Kellen Moore takes over the play-calling and he let Dak Prescott sling it for 240+ yards a game even with some injury shortened weeks.
The Chargers also added dynamic rookie Quentin Johnston to an already talented receiving corps that includes Keenan Allen and Mike Williams.
Herbert also has an outstanding receiving back in Austin Ekeler and there are rumors of a potential DeAndre Hopkins signing in Los Angeles. Herbert seems primed for a 5,000-yard passing season in 2023.
Most Passing Yards Player Prop Prediction: Justin Herbert +700
NFL Divisional Betting Tips By Teddy Covers
In this installment, Teddy breaks down betting angles covering the AFC South Division and if the Colts have an outside shot of making the playoffs! He runs through each team’s schedule providing betting trends and angles to take advantage of. Listen now!
WagerTalk Live Odds Screen
WagerTalk’s live odds screen features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track the run spreads, totals and betting percentages for all games across the NFL and other sports leagues from your desktop or phone.
**************************************************
Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?
- Latest Betting Odds and Public Action: Vegas lines updated in real time, including who the public is betting on.
- Last Minute Handicapping Advice: Check out our extensive library of handicapping tips and advice from professional Vegas handicappers (we also recommend taking the time to look over our sports betting tips video library)
- Want an expert opinion? Check out the latest Free Sports Picks and Best Bets from our team of expert sports handicappers.
Make sure to bookmark all the above!
