Top NFL Prop Picks AFC and NFC Championship – Team Total Over Under Predictions
NFL Props including Team Total Picks and Predictions for AFC and NFC Championship!
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NFC Championship Props Team Total: Washington Commanders Under 21.5 (-130)
This is the third meeting between these two teams, so nobody has more tape on Jayden Daniels and the Washington Commanders than Vic Fangio’s group.
Washington has taken advantage of two suspect defenses in the postseason (DET & TB) but now they will deal with an elite Eagles defense that has allowed the 2nd fewest points (17.8/game) and fewest yards (278.4/game).
Jayden Daniels has been great, but rookie quarterbacks are 0-5 in the NFL Conference Championships. Washington is 1-1 against this total with 36 and 18 points against Philadelphia but this is the postseason, and the Eagles will be able to run the ball with ease and extend drives to slow down the pace of the game.
The Commanders have struggled against the run all season as they have allowed the 3rd most rushing yards with 137.5 per game.
The Eagles and Saquon Barkley will continue to exploit that as they have already run for 211 and 228 yards against them.
This play is about the number as Washington will need 4+ scores to eclipse this total in a shortened game.
AFC Championship Props Team Total: Buffalo Bills Over 23.5 (-116)
The Buffalo Bills have crushed this total in both of their postseason games with 27 and 31 points respectively against remarkably strong defenses in Baltimore and Denver.
They also cleared this line in 10 straight regular season games (not counting Week 18 vs NE where starters sat) with 30+ points in 9 of those 10 games.
The Chiefs defense loves to blitz & play man-to-man, and Josh Allen ranks top 5 against the blitz according to PFF and he has the 3rd best passer rating against man coverage.
Despite losing all three games against Kansas City in the postseason with Allen at the helm, Buffalo has scored 24+ points including last season in the Divisional Round.
Josh Allen is working with the best group of weapons he’s had in any postseason game with the Chiefs, and I don’t see them scoring less than 24 points regardless of the outcome.
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