Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Predictions and Picks

Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Preview

The Lightning went into the all-star break riding three straight wins with the Panthers losing three of their last four games before the break.

WagerTalk NHL handicapper Kevin Dolan breaking down this Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Atlantic Division showdown from a betting perspective providing his predictions before puck drop at 7:00pm ET.

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Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Odds

Monday, February 6	NHL Betting Notes
Moneyline:	Florida Panthers +100 vs Tampa Bay Lightning -120
Puckline:	Panthers +1.5 (-230) / Lightning -1.5 (+195)
Total:	6.5 (Over -130 / Under +110)
Arena:	FLA Live Arena in Sunrise, FL (Odds Above Courtesy of DraftKings)
Game Time:	7:00pm ET / 4:00pm PT

Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Analysis

The Battle of Florida tips off the return of hockey as the Tampa Bay Lightning will be looking to continue a run that saw them win 17 of their prior 23 games heading into the All-Star break as they look to kick right back into gear with another win on Monday.

Facing them here are a Florida Panthers team that hopes their form will be anything but like their form prior to the All-Star break as they currently sit outside of playoff contention in the Atlantic.

Florida have lost both of their meetings against Tampa Bay this season in what’s become an all too familiar pattern in this series, with the Lightning winning all of their previous four meetings in Sunrise, and owning an impressive 42-20 record over their last 62 meetings against the Panthers as well.

Tampa Bay Not As Effective On The Road

The Tampa Bay Lightning have been absolutely lights out at home this season, winning 12 straight games inside Amalie Arena, and notching one of the best home records in the Eastern Conference this season as a result.

However, on the road, the Lightning just haven’t been as effective, registering a 12-11-0 record overall this season and losing both of their previous two road starts against the Flames and Oilers respectively heading into Monday’s clash.

Stats Good For Florida, Results Not So Much

Florida’s underlying stats this season remain excellent, ranking #2 in the league in offensive xG and high danger creation rate this year, and #1 in total shot attempts created also, but a lot of that statistical dominance for the Panthers has unfortunately failed to turn into tangible results for them.

A large part of the issue for the Panthers in that regard has been some sub-par conversion percentages this season, posting a sub-10 % conversion rate on total scoring chances this year, along with ranking 22nd in the league in high-danger conversion percentage also.

Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction

There’s no question the Florida Panthers will be fired up to come out of the break in much better form than how they went in, especially at home, and the data suggests they could well be a buy-on team from this point of the season on.

That aside, however, we believe the value still lies with the Tampa Bay Lightning in this one as they entered the break in some red-hot form and have owned this series against Florida over recent seasons also.

Take the Tampa Bay Lightning to win outright on the road on Monday against the Florida Panthers down in Sunrise.

Prediction: Tampa Bay Lightning Moneyline (-125)


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Puck Time | NHL Betting Preview February 6

Join Carmine Bianco, Andrew McInnis for Puck Time as our panel of professional hockey handicappers break down this weekend’s NHL betting card. Join the Puck Time crew every week day at 11am ET / 8am PT as we discuss the NHL betting slate from a variety of handicapping angles.

https://youtube.com/live/ENOwXIcE6rQ

NHL Live Odds Screen

WagerTalk’s Live Odds Screen features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track the moneylines, pucklines, totals and betting percentages for all of Monday’s NHL action, including this Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning showdown, from your desktop or phone.

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Meet the Author

‘The sharpest sports mind in Ireland’ is how one prominent newspaper dubbed Kevin Dolan after he became the first foreigner ever to win the World Series of Handicapping tournament back in 2015. “The Irishman” made his start wagering on GAA, football, soccer and boxing, all to immense success.

Since becoming a professional bettor, he has since lit up the sports betting scene in the U.S. and abroad, winning two handicapping awards and writing a best-selling book on sports handicapping named ‘The Complete Guide to Sports Betting’.

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