Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers Expert Predictions and Picks February 28

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers Betting Preview

This will be the fourth and final regular season meeting between the Lightning and Panthers with Tampa Bay taking two of three games so far.

WagerTalk NHL handicapper Kevin Dolan breaks down this Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers matchup giving expert predictions and picks before 7:00pm ET puck drop.

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Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers Betting Odds

Tuesday, February 28	NHL Betting Notes
Moneyline:	Tampa Bay Lightning -165 vs Florida Panthers +140
Puckline:	Lightning -1.5 (+145) / Panthers +1.5 (-170)
Total:	7 (Over +105 / Under -125)
Arena:	Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL (Odds Above From DraftKings)
Game Time:	7:00pm ET / 4:00pm PT

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers Betting Analysis

The Battle of Florida takes place on Tuesday night as the Florida Panthers travel over to the Amalie Arena in Tampa to take on the Tampa Bay Lightning.

Both teams enter into this one in some patchy form overall, winning just two of their last five games respectively, however, Tampa Bay’s home form this year has been strong, registering a 22-4-3 mark on the season so far.

This will be the fourth and final meeting between the two teams this season after Tampa Bay won both of the opening two matchups, with Florida then roaring back in game three with a 7-1 destruction down in Sunrise earlier this month.

However, that victory was Florida’s only one across their last eight attempts, and they’ve gone just 19-39-2 in this venue against Tampa Bay across recent seasons as well.

Florida Struggling Without Starters

With a raft of injuries to deal with and time running out on the season, the Florida Panthers are really in a desperate battle to make the playoffs this season.

Spence Knight, Aleksander Barkov, and Sam Bennett all remain sidelined for the Panthers ahead of Tuesday’s clash, and despite putting up a mammoth 54 shots against the Buffalo Sabres on Friday, Florida showed they need that quality back in their starting lineup sooner rather than later.

Lightning Red-Hot In Amalie

Despite some recent patchy form overall, the Tampa Bay Lightning continue to be red-hot offensively inside Amalie Arena, averaging 5.30 goals per game across their last three home starts.

That’s been a general theme on the season also, with Tampa Bay ranking 4th on total scoring offense this year averaging 3.56 goals per game, 2nd on power play offense, and 4th on offensive xG also.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers Expert Prediction

It’s hard to look past a Tampa Bay victory at home in this one given all of Florida’s recent struggles.

With all of their lineup absences, the data is really starting to lay heavy on this Panthers team right now, with Florida ranking 23rd in defensive xGA this year and 25th on opponent high-danger shots allowed as well.

Sergei Bobrovsky has simply been overwhelmed across recent starts as a result, especially with Spencer Knight’s continued absence, and it’ll be interesting to see if Alex Lyon can make up the shortfall.

At the other end of the ice Florida haven’t fared much better, ranking 25th and 22nd respectively this season on shot conversion rate and high-danger conversion rate also, and simply aren’t getting it done at either end of the ice right now.

Take the Tampa Bay Lightning to win outright at home against the Florida Panthers on Tuesday and continue that strong head-to-head form.

Prediction: Tampa Bay Lightning Moneyline (-160)

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Puck Time | NHL Betting Preview February 28

Join Carmine Bianco, Andrew McInnis and Don Buster for Tuesday’s Puck Time as our panel of professional hockey handicappers break down tonight’s NHL betting card. Join the Puck Time crew every week day at 11am ET / 8am PT as we discuss the NHL betting slate from a variety of handicapping angles.

NHL Live Odds Screen

WagerTalk’s Live Odds Screen features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track the moneylines, pucklines, totals and betting percentages for all of Tuesday’s NHL action, including this Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers showdown, from your desktop or phone.

Get A $1 Premium Expert Picks Package

First time at WagerTalk? Get your first daily picks package for ONLY $1 using coupon code NEWS1 when checking out! Click here to select your picks and then apply the best bargain of 2023 with coupon code NEWS1. 

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Meet the Author

‘The sharpest sports mind in Ireland’ is how one prominent newspaper dubbed Kevin Dolan after he became the first foreigner ever to win the World Series of Handicapping tournament back in 2015. “The Irishman” made his start wagering on GAA, football, soccer and boxing, all to immense success.

Since becoming a professional bettor, he has since lit up the sports betting scene in the U.S. and abroad, winning two handicapping awards and writing a best-selling book on sports handicapping named ‘The Complete Guide to Sports Betting’.

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