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Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning Game 5 Prediction April 27

Toronto Maple Leafs Celebrating a Goal

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction Preview

WagerTalk NHL handicapper Andy Lang breaks down this Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning matchup giving expert prediction and picks before 7:00pm ET puck drop. The Maple Leafs have won the last two games of this series in overtime. 

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Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Odds

Thursday, April 27 NHL Betting Notes
Moneyline: Toronto Maple Leafs -155 vs Tampa Bay Lightning +135
Puckline: Maple Leafs -1.5 (+170) / Lightning +1.5 (-205)
Total: 6.5 (Over -115 / Under -105)
Arena: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON (Odds Above From DraftKings)
Game Time: 7:00pm ET / 4:00pm PT

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Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Analysis

The Tampa Bay Lightning hit the road for Game 5 of their playoff series against the Toronto Maple Leafs on Thursday evening. The Maple Leafs now hold a 3-1 series advantage after winning their last three games. Toronto finished the regular season with a 50-21-11 while Tampa Bay posted a 46-30-6 mark. The puck drops at 7:00 PM EST/4:00 PST from Scotiabank Arena in Toronto.

Lightning Lose Both At Home

The Tampa Bay Lightning looked to be prepared to even the series as they held a 4-1 lead after two periods in Game 4.

However the Lightning allowed three unanswered goals in the 3rd period to eventually lose 5-4 in overtime. The Lightning offense has been great this season as they rank 8th in goals per game and 13th in shots per game.

Nikita Kucherov led the team with 113 points while ranking third in points and second in assists. Brayden Point led Tampa Bay with 51 goals, the 5th most in the NHL.

Their defense was slightly below average as they ranked 14th in goals allowed per game and 20th in shots allowed per game.

Andrei Vasilevskiy was slightly above average in net with a 34-22-4 record, 2.65 GAA and .915 save percentage. He has now allowed 19 goals through the first four games of this series.

Maple Leafs Look For Series Victory

It looked like the Toronto Maple Leafs would return home with the series knotted up 2-2 as they entered the final period down 4-1 in Game 4.

However the Leafs rallied for three unanswered goals and the third period for Alexander Kerfoot to score the game winner in overtime. Toronto ranked similar to the Lightning offensively at 9th in goals per game and 12th in shots per game.

Mitch Marner led the team with 99 points while ranking 4th in the league in assists. Auston Matthews and William Nylander each scored 40 goals. Defense was a strong point throughout the year as they ranked 7th in both goals and shots allowed.

Ilya Samsonov posted a 27-10-5 record with a 2.33 GAA and .919 save percentage. Samsonov struggled in Game 1 with six goals allowed on 29 shots but has only allowed 9 goals in the last three games resulting in victories.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning Expert Prediction

The Toronto Maple Leafs enter this contest as -155 favorites on the money line and +175 on the -1.5 puck line with a total set at 6.5.

This series has been loaded with high scoring games and we should expect that to continue on Thursday night. Each of the four games in this series has cleared the total while also going over in 8 of their last 10 meetings overall.

The Leafs have scored 3+ goals in each game while the Lightning have scored 3+ in three of the four games in this series.

Both sides have struggled to keep the puck out of the net and this will be another high scoring contest where the over cashes.

Expert Prediction: Over 6.5 -115 Draftkings

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Puck Time | NHL Betting Preview April 27

Join Carmine Bianco, Andrew McInnis and Bryan Leonard for Thursday’s Puck Time as our panel of professional hockey handicappers break down tonight’s NHL betting card including Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning. Join the Puck Time crew every week day at 11am ET / 8am PT as we discuss the NHL betting slate from a variety of handicapping angles.

NHL Playoff Game 5 Predictions | Maple Leafs vs Lightning | Devils vs Rangers | Puck Time for Apr 27

NHL Live Odds Screen

WagerTalk’s Live Odds Screen features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track the moneylines, pucklines, totals and betting percentages for all of Wednesday’s NHL action, including this Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning showdown, from your desktop or phone.

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