Ajax vs Napoli Prediction and Best Odds | UEFA Champions League Oct 4

Ajax vs Napoli Prediction & Betting Preview

Match Day 3 of the UEFA Champions League kicks off on Tuesday, October 4 as Napoli travels to Amsterdam to take on Ajax. WagerTalk soccer handicapper Kevin Dolan shares his thoughts on the matchup between two of the best from Italy and the Netherlands.

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Not only his thoughts, though, Kevin makes a bold (and free) Ajax vs Napoli Prediction to give you some guidance on your Champions League betting.

Ajax vs Napoli Prediction – Betting Odds

Tuesday, October 4	UEFA Champions League Betting Notes
Ajax:	+125
Napoli:	+200
Draw:	+280
Total:	2.75 Goals (Odds Above Courtesy of DraftKings)
Game Time:	3:00pm ET / 12:00pm PT

Ajax vs Napoli Betting Analysis

Surprising group leaders Napoli travel over to Amsterdam on Tuesday night looking to keep their perfect start to their Champions League campaign intact with a third win in Group A.

Back-to-back three-goal wins against Liverpool and Rangers have put the Italians firmly in the driver’s seat of this group ahead of this one, but they’ll nevertheless face a stern test here against an Ajax team who have been absolutely ruthless at home this season.

The Dutch side had blown out everyone by at least a 4+ goal margin at home this season before a shocking 1-1 draw against Go Ahead Eagles over the weekend, which was obviously a look-ahead spot to this huge home clash against Napoli in the Champions League.

These two teams have never faced one another in European competition before, which leaves no historical stats around for making a Ajax vs Napoli Prediction.

Napoli Enjoying Life

Napoli is enjoying one of their best starts to an Italian Serie A campaign in their history, ranking top of the league overall right now without suffering a loss.

On top of that, Napoli has averaged 2.4 goals per game away from home this season, so they should provide a real handful offensively for this Ajax backline on Tuesday.

Ajax Hitting a Bump

While the Dutch giants continue to be strong at home, they’ve hit something of a bump overall this season, going winless across each of their last three starts. That’s a fact that will no doubt trouble manager Alfred Schreuder ahead of this one.

Historically, Ajax have only enjoyed a 27% win rate as is against Italian opposition in Europe, so both recent and historical trends point to an uphill battle in this one for the home side.

Ajax vs Napoli Prediction

This is a very difficult game to predict on Tuesday with both sides being so offensively blessed. Despite their offensive talents, Ajax held Rangers to just 0.13 xG in Match Day 1 in this venue, so they are capable of limiting opponents at the back in games.

While Napoli is not Rangers, they have been getting a little fortunate at the back themselves, conceding just one goal from 2.39 xG allowed over their two Champions League group matches so far this season, so Ajax could well find some success here offensively.

Overall, for our Ajax vs Napoli Prediction, we’re going to lean towards the away side in this one with Napoli +0.25 on the Asian handicap. Napoli is in some red-hot form right now, and we like them to avoid defeat in Amsterdam on Tuesday against Ajax in the UEFA Champions League.

Stoppage Time | Champions League Betting Tips

Inter Milan and Juventus have each gotten off to poor starts in Serie A this season. Can they turn their fortune around with a good performance in the Champions League this week? Join Carmine Bianco, Kevin Dolan, Pavlos Laguretos and Nick Borrman for Stoppage Time as we preview this week’s marquee matches in the UEFA Champions League. Also find a free Manchester City vs FC Copenhagen pick.

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Meet the Author

‘The sharpest sports mind in Ireland’ is how one prominent newspaper dubbed Kevin Dolan after he became the first foreigner ever to win the World Series of Handicapping tournament back in 2015. “The Irishman” made his start wagering on GAA, football, soccer and boxing, all to immense success. Since becoming a professional bettor, he has since lit up the sports betting scene in the U.S. and abroad, winning two handicapping awards and writing a best-selling book on sports handicapping named ‘The Complete Guide to Sports Betting’.

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