Arsenal vs Leicester EPL Predictions and Odds 3-13-22
Arsenal vs Leicester Betting Preview
WagerTalk soccer handicapper Kevin Dolan offers his Arsenal vs Leicester betting preview for Sunday, March 13 in England’s Premier League. Arsenal won the reverse fixture 2-0 between these two back in October, and the Gunners have won three of the last four meetings between these squads.
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Sunday, March 13 | Premier League Betting Notes |
---|---|
Arsenal: | -200 |
Leicester: | +550 |
Draw: | +360 |
Total: | 3 Goals (Odds Above Courtesy of DraftKings) |
Game Time: | 12:30pm ET / 9:30am PT |
Arsenal vs Leicester Analysis
Leicester enters the Emirates Stadium on Sunday coming off back-to-back wins in the Premier League for only the second time all season.
Arsenal meanwhile are running red-hot right now, going unbeaten across their last five matches in all and sitting in the final Champions League spot ahead of the likes of Manchester United, Tottenham and West Ham.
Leicester’s Underwhelming Season
Despite a bright off-season for the ‘Foxes’ last summer in which Leicester were already campaigning almost all season long in the Champions League race before falling off late, adding proven top level talent to the roster in the likes of Red Bull Salzburg’s top scorer Patson Daka and French Ligue 1 title winner Boubakary Soumare, a lot of people expected Leicester to take that next step and push on into a potential challenger role in that Premier League top four.
However, it’s been a season to forget for the Foxes so far as numerous injuries and a lack of cohesion at the back has cost them badly this year, allowing the fifth-most expected goals against in the league.
Arsenal Strengthening Their Return to Champions League
With three games in-hand over the likes of chasing Manchester United and West Ham for the final Champions League spot, Arsenal are in a good place right now.
Four-straight wins on the bounce now for the ‘Gunners’ has saw them make a charge up the table as they unloaded some big names in the transfer window like Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang to Barcelona, and that has allowed Arsenal’s youth contingent to take over.
Bukayo Saka (20), Gabriel Martinelli (20), Emile Smith Rowe (21) and Eddie Nketiah (22) have already bagged 22 goals and 10 assists between them this season and their ability to overwhelm opposition backlines with pace has been extremely effective for Arsenal.
Arsenal vs Leicester Prediction
While the price is high here on Arsenal, it is justified.
Leicester is without Jamie Vardy ahead of this clash and their influential forward will be badly missed as despite back-to-back wins over recent games in the Premier League, Leicester simply haven’t looked that impressive going forward.
A 2.16 xG to 3.18 xG disadvantage for Leicester over their two most recent wins has highlighted their struggles and against an Arsenal side that is good at defending against set-pieces and who have the pace to expose Leicester on the opposite end, the foxes luck may well run out here.
Arsenal at this price don’t present a ton of value, around -200 at time of writing, but I do expect both teams to get on the scoresheet here as Leicester have failed to score in just one of their last fourteen away games across all competitions and had almost double Arsenal’s expected goals tally in the reverse fixture back in October, but simply couldn’t find the back of the net.
That likely changes here however and while I expect Arsenal to get the victory on Sunday, Both Teams to Score – Yes at -134 presents the better overall value in this one.
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Soccer Betting 101
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Meet the Author
‘The sharpest sports mind in Ireland’ is how one prominent newspaper dubbed Kevin Dolan after he became the first foreigner ever to win the World Series of Handicapping tournament back in 2015. “The Irishman” made his start wagering on GAA, football, soccer and boxing, all to immense success. Since becoming a professional bettor, he has since lit up the sports betting scene in the U.S. and abroad, winning two handicapping awards and writing a best-selling book on sports handicapping named ‘The Complete Guide to Sports Betting’.
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