Cagliari vs Napoli Betting Odds and Prediction Feb 21
Cagliari vs Napoli Betting Preview
After decades of being one of the lowest-scoring leagues in Europe, offense in Italy’s Serie A has exploded over the last couple seasons. But one team is holding onto those defensive roots, and continues to climb up the table. WagerTalk soccer handicapper Kevin Dolan offers his Cagliari vs Napoli betting preview.
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| Monday, February 21 | Italian Serie A Betting Notes |
|---|---|
| Cagliari: | +500 |
| Napoli: | -160 |
| Draw: | +285 |
| Total: | 2.25 Goals (Odds Above Courtesy of DraftKings) |
| Game Time: | 1:00pm ET / 10:00am PT |
Cagliari vs Napoli Analysis
Napoli come into Monday night’s game against Cagliari off the back of some excellent results of late, drawing against both Barcelona in the Europa League and current Serie A champions Inter Milan in back-to-back games over the last week and are now unbeaten in the league since December.
Cagliari meanwhile has just one win over their last five across both league and cup, but that sole win did come against an excellent Atalanta team on the road just two weeks ago.
Napoli won the reverse fixture in Cagliari 2-0 back at the end of September and will no doubt look for a repeat of that here as they try to keep pressure up at the top of the league.
Napoli’s Stout Defense
While Napoli are no doubt having an excellent season all-round this year, currently just three points off the top with a game in hand, it’s in their defense where the ‘Partenopei’ have really shined this season.
Napoli have allowed the fewest goals all season in Serie A, averaging just 0.68 goals per game to opponents this year, with each of their last four road victories coming to nil as well. Even the indomitable Barcelona needed a penalty in midweek to crack this stout Napoli defensive line.
History Against Cagliari
After a really poor start to the season which saw the Sardinians win just one of their opening 19 matches in league action, Cagliari have turned that around of late to lose just one of their last six matches in Serie A, winning three of them outright, as they look to pull themselves out of the relegation quagmire.
However, while they’ve no doubt stepped it up a notch over 2022, Walter Mazzarri’s side have a terrible record against Napoli over the last few seasons, winning just one of their previous 23 H2H’s against them.
Even worse for Cagliari is the fact that they failed to score a single goal against Napoli in over half of those games as well and enter Monday’s game remaining scoreless in eight of their last ten defeats in Serie A also.
Napoli vs Cagliari Prediction
The ‘Napoli to win to nil’ prop tonight is going off at around a +162 and that’s the way we’re going to look for Monday.
As stated previously, Napoli have the best defense in Serie A this season by a long stretch and that defense has been even better on the road this year as well, allowing just 0.67 gpg away from home.
In terms of overall defensive data as well, there’s simply been Napoli and everyone else this year in Serie A, as the ‘Gli Azzurri’ have put absolute daylight between themselves and everyone else in the league in terms of expected goals against average this season, posting a league best 0.70 xGA this season compared with a league average of 1.36 xGA, almost half.
A tough reverse leg fixture looms against Barcelona for Napoli on Thursday night but even so, we don’t envision a lookahead spot in this one as a win here on Monday would put Napoli top of the league, at least until Inter’s game on Friday, and the chance to win their first Scudetto title in over 30 years likely means we get a best effort from Napoli later tonight.
Take Napoli to win to nil on Monday night at a healthy +162 against Cagliari over in the Italian Serie A.
Interested in placing a bet on Monday’s Cagliari vs Napoli showdown in Serie A? Caesars Sports is offering up to a $1,500 match bet for first-time deposits in New Jersey, West Virginia, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Virginia, Tennessee, Arizona, New York and Louisiana.
Soccer Betting 101
New to betting on soccer? Not familiar with all the wagering options, such as three-way betting and the Asian handicap? What stats should a novice soccer bettor focus on? What are some basic tips and strategies? Kelly Stewart, Carmine Bianco and Nick Borrman share some of their favorite soccer betting tips.
WagerTalk Live Odds Screen
WagerTalk’s live odds screen features odds from a variety of domestic and offshore sports books. Track the moneylines and totals for all of this week’s Serie A matches, including this Cagliari vs Napoli showdown, from your desktop or phone.
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