Crystal Palace vs Manchester United Prediction and Picks | Premier League Jan 18

Crystal Palace vs Manchester United Betting Preview

Manchester United has won five straight Premier League matches heading into their match against Crystal Palace who has lost four of their last five. WagerTalk soccer handicapper Nick Borrman breaks down this Crystal Palace vs Manchester United match before matchup time at 3pm ET.

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Crystal Palace vs Manchester United Betting Odds

Wednesday, January 18	Premier League Betting Notes
Crystal Palace:	+340
Manchester United:	-125
Draw:	+275
Total:	2.5 Goals (Odds Above Courtesy of DraftKings)
Game Time:	3:00pm ET / 12:00pm PT

Crystal Palace and Manchester Recent Matches

The train keeps a rollin’ for this Manchester United side after beating City 2-1 in the Manchester Derby over the weekend. Ten Haag was already the fastest United manager to reach 20 wins before that game and there just appears to be nothing that is going to get in their way.

I faded Palace on Saturday vs Chelsea mostly because Palace had lost 11 straight matches to Chelsea, but against United, they have the recent edge winning three of the last six meetings with one draw and two United wins.

However, we all know that over the last couple seasons, United was a shell of the team they appear to be now with manager changes, Ronaldo drama and ownership issues.

United has also been a cash cow this season vs the betting market. They are 13-5 ATS this year including 6-3 away while Palace have been just about dead even at 9-8-1. However, it is worth noting that as home dogs this season, Palace are 0-3 ATS.

Crystal Palace vs Manchester United Advanced Metrics

As far as handicapping this match, there is no way I’m getting in front of the United train at this point, however, I am a little cautious as midweek games often can have surprising results.

This match is also sandwiched between City this past weekend and Arsenal this upcoming weekend. I wouldn’t be surprised to see a lapse of focus here from United.

Personally, I’m going to lay off the side and total and instead focus on the Corners market. Surprisingly, United does not generate many corners, just 4.3 per match which ranks #16 in the league and on the road, that number drops to 3.3 which is the 2nd fewest.

Meanwhile, Palace does a good job at limiting corners, just 4.8 per match which ranks #8 in the league and that number drops to 3.9 at home.

Crystal Palace vs Manchester United Prediction

Any other day or situation, I’m backing United, but in this spot, midweek between two huge matches, not something I want to deal with.

Instead I’ll go small on the season trends suggesting United under 5.5 Corners is worth a shot. Take Manchester United under 5.5 corners.

Prediction: Manchester United Under 5.5 Corners Taken -120

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Soccer Betting Tips

New to betting on soccer? Not familiar with all the wagering options, such as three-way betting and the Asian handicap? What stats should a novice soccer bettor focus on? What are some basic soccer betting tips and strategies? Carmine Bianco and Nick Borrman joined Kelly Stewart to share some tips to novice soccer bettors.

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About The Author

Nick Borrman fell in love with professional ‘football’ (as anyone outside of the United States would refer to it) the first time he attended an MLS game seven years ago. Now, he uses statistical analysis as well as current trends to successfully find value on soccer matches across the globe. Borrman focuses much of his attention on the Premier League, La Liga, Ligue 1, Bundesliga and Serie A, as well as the most prestigious tournament of them all, the Champions League. Of course, you can’t forget the fast-growing MLS which finishes the year-round soccer schedule through the summer months in North America. Borrman derives many of his plays from his model forecasts and releases plays several days ahead of time to consistently beat line moves.

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