DC United vs Nashville SC Prediction and Betting Odds | MLS June 25
DC United vs Nashville SC Betting Preview
WagerTalk soccer handicapper Nick Borrman offers his thoughts on Saturday’s DC United vs Nashville SC showdown in the nation’s capital. Nashville has never lost to DC in their short MLS history. Can United pick up a much-needed win on their home soil this weekend?
Still trying to secure a Playstation 5 almost 20 months after its initial release? We know the struggle. Enter our social media raffle, and you could Win a Playstation 5!
| Saturday, June 25 | MLS Betting Notes |
|---|---|
| DC United: | +125 |
| Nashville SC: | +200 |
| Draw: | +240 |
| Total: | 2.5 Goals (Odds Above Courtesy of DraftKings) |
| Game Time: | 5:00pm ET / 2:00pm PT |
DC United vs Nashville SC Analysis
Despite having the joint-fewest points in the MLS so far this season, DC comes into this match as home favorites over a very good Nashville team (quarterfinalists from a year ago), and currently in the thick of the playoff race. The weather looks good for the match with a gametime high near 90 degrees and no rain in sight.
Nashville’s Eyes Set on the Prize
Nashville once again looks like a team primed to make a deep run in the MLS playoffs. While they are probably disappointed to be sitting sixth in the Eastern Conference right now, their underlying numbers are solid and suggest they should have no problem qualifying for the postseason.
Nashville is coming off a loss vs Kansas City last weekend, but prior to that had lost just one of their last nine games including two US Open Cup matches.
Last season, Nashville finished with the fifth-best xG differential in the league at +0.31 per game thanks to allowing just 1.10 xG, which was the second-fewest in the league, behind only NYCFC’s 1.09.
Nearing the halfway point of this season, they are proving last year was no fluke as they have nearly identical numbers with a +0.33 xG differential, currently seventh-best in the league, while allowing just 1.18 xGA.
Defense Not DC’s Forte
DC United missed the playoffs by one point last year despite having the fourth-best xG differential at +0.31 per game as they allowed a respectable 1.28 xGA. However, those numbers seem to by an outlier as DC had a -0.19 xG differential in 2019 and followed that up with a -0.63 differential in 2020. Similarly, they allowed 1.49 xGA and 1.62 xGA those two seasons, respectively.
This year, they are right back to their woeful defensive ways as they are allowing 1.58 xGA and own a -0.31 xG differential. As expected, their results on the season have not been good as they have won just four of 14 matches, including going winless in their last six.
DC United vs Nashville SC Prediction
It’s all about the defense. One of my favorite sure-fire wagers is grabbing + goals with the better defensive side. It also doesn’t hurt that Nashville has never lost to DC United. Albeit a short history, Nashville has two wins and a draw in three all-time meetings. Don’t bet on DC United getting their first win over Nashville on Saturday and take the head start on Nashville +0.25 (-115).
Soccer Betting 101
New to betting on soccer? Not familiar with all the wagering options, such as three-way betting and the Asian handicap? What stats should a novice soccer bettor focus on? What are some basic tips and strategies? Carmine Bianco and Nick Borrman joined Kelly Stewart to share some tips to novice soccer bettors.
**************************************************
Meet the Author
Nick Borrman fell in love with professional ‘football’ (as anyone outside of the United States would refer to it) the first time he attended an MLS match. Now, he uses statistical analysis as well as current trends to successfully find value on soccer matches across the globe. Borrman focuses much of his attention on the Premier League, La Liga, Ligue 1, Bundesliga and Serie A, as well as the most prestigious tournament of them all, the Champions League. Borrman derives many of his plays from his model forecasts and releases plays several days ahead of time to consistently beat line moves.
Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?
- Latest Betting Odds and Public Action: Vegas lines updated in real time, including who the public is betting on.
- Last Minute Handicapping Advice: Check out our extensive library of handicapping tips and advice from professional Vegas handicappers (we also recommend taking the time to look over our sports betting tips video library)
- Want an expert opinion? Check out the latest Free Sports Picks and Best Bets from our team of expert sports handicappers.
Make sure to bookmark all the above!
