Dortmund vs Monchengladbach Betting Odds and Prediction Feb 20
Dortmund vs Monchengladbach Betting Preview
WagerTalk soccer handicapper Nick Borrman offers his Dortmund vs Monchengladbach betting preview for Sunday, February 20 in the German Bundesliga. Gladbach got off to a really bad start this season, but a road win at Dortmund on Sunday could go a long way toward turning things around.
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| Sunday, February 20 | German Bundesliga Betting Notes |
|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund: | -165 |
| Monchengladbach: | +425 |
| Draw: | +340 |
| Total: | 3.25 Goals (Odds Above Courtesy of DraftKings) |
| Game Time: | 11:30am ET / 8:30am PT |
Dortmund vs Monchengladbach Analysis
Dortmund sits second in the Bundesliga table, six points behind Bayern Munich. They have a 15-1-6 record with a +21 goal differential including a very strong home record of 9-0-2 with a +15 differential. Looking at xG (expected goals) data, Dortmund has the third-best xG differential per game at +0.55, which increases to +0.75 at home.
Fear the Yellow Wall
It’s no secret how good Dortmund is at home in front of their famed yellow wall of fans and this season is no different. They are coming off a home loss, however, losing 2-5 to Leverkusen two weeks ago, which was just their third home loss of the season in all competitions, but they rebounded nicely win a 3-0 win last weekend at Union Berlin. Speaking of rebounding, in both of their two home losses this season, they rebounded with a win in their next home game.
Their only bad stretch of the year came in November/December when they were dealing with a lot of injuries and COVID issues including Haaland missing about a month of action. As it happens again, Haaland is injured and missed Thursday’s Europa League clash with Rangers. However, there is some chatter about him returning for this game, as Dortmund need to get three points in every game they can if they want any chance at closing the gap on Bayern.
Even without Haaland, Dortmund found something in their 3-0 win over Union with defensive midfielders helping out the cause as they were scrambling from allowing five goals in their previous clash with Leverkusen.
Forgettable Season for Gladbach
It’s been a terrible year so far for Monchengladbach and unfortunately for them, the season is far from over as they are close to the relegation line, currently just four points above No. 16 Augsburg. They have won just seven games so far in the Bundesliga with a -10 goal differential, all of that coming on the road where they have won just twice.
Gladbach got off to a slow start this year, winning just one of their first four games, but then they got hot, losing just one of their next seven games with four wins and two draws. Almost all of their season success came during that stretch. Since then, the end of November, they have just two wins in 11 games including one Cup match.
Their struggle this year has been on the defensive end where they have conceded 40 goals in 22 matches, fourth-most in the league, and have kept just two clean sheets. Ironically, one of those clean sheets was in the reverse fixture as Gladbach won 1-0 at home back in September, their only win over Dortmund since 2015.
xG data supports their abysmal defensive numbers as they have allowed 1.79 xGA, the 5th highest mark, while giving up the 2nd most shots on goal per game at 5.9. Defense is not the area you want to be struggling when traveling to play Dortmund, with or without Haaland.
Dortmund vs Monchengladbach Prediction
Besides all the stats and data suggesting Dortmund is the play here, the series history between these teams is as lopsided as you will find. Dortmund has won eight straight matches at home over Gladbach and a ridiculous 15 of the last 16! Add in the revenge angle from Gladbach’s reverse fixture win this season and the rebound angle of Dortmund coming off a home loss, all signs point to a straightforward Dortmund win. Currently the price on them to win is -165 at DraftKings which is a little steep, so I recommend playing Dortmund on the -1.0 goal spread at +100.
Interested in placing a bet on Sunday’s Dortmund vs Monchengladbach showdown in the German Bundesliga? Caesars Sports is offering up to a $1,500 match bet for first-time deposits in New Jersey, West Virginia, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Virginia, Tennessee, Arizona, New York and Louisiana.
Soccer Betting 101
New to betting on soccer? Not familiar with all the wagering options, such as three-way betting and the Asian handicap? What stats should a novice soccer bettor focus on? What are some basic tips and strategies? Kelly Stewart, Carmine Bianco and Nick Borrman share some of their favorite soccer betting tips.
WagerTalk Live Odds Screen
WagerTalk’s live odds screen features odds from a variety of domestic and offshore sports books. Track the moneylines and totals for all of this weekend’s Bundesliga matches, including this Dortmund vs Monchengladbach showdown, from your desktop or phone.
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