Eintracht Frankfurt vs Napoli Expert Prediction and Picks | UEFA Champions League Feb 21

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Napoli Betting Preview

This will be the first of two legs in the Round of 16 between Eintracht Frankfurt and Napoli with Sportsmemo soccer handicapper Nick Borrman breaking down this Eintracht Frankfurt vs Napoli match before start time at 3:00pm ET from Deutsche Bank Park in Frankfurt, Germany.

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Eintracht Frankfurt vs Napoli Betting Odds

Tuesday, February 21	UEFA Champions League Betting Notes
Eintracht Frankfurt:	+240
Napoli:	+115
Draw:	+255
Total:	2.5 Goals (Odds Above Courtesy of DraftKings)
Game Time:	3:00pm ET / 12:00pm PT

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Napoli Betting Analysis

Interesting matchup here between last season’s Europa League champions and perhaps the best team in Europe this season at least when looking strictly at domestic league results.

The quick eye test makes you what to jump on Napoli getting a + number to win the match, but Frankfurt has proven to be a tough team to beat at home and certainly makes me pause.

Frankfurt has four losses at home in 15 matches in all competitions this season but have been better of late with just one loss in their last ten.

In the group stage, Frankfurt lost their first home match 0-3 vs Sporting, but followed that up with two very good results, drawing 0-0 vs Tottenham and beating Marseille 2-1 who have looked great over in Ligue 1 with a chance to possibly dethrone PSG.

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Napoli Advanced Data

In Bundesliga play, they own a +0.83 xG differential at home and aside from their 1-6 blowout loss at the hands of Bayern in their home-opener, they have been very good. Even in their 1-2 loss vs Dortmund, xG showed a 1.71 – 0.73 advantage to Frankfurt.

They also absolutely dominated two other Champions League sides, RB Leipzig and Leverkusen by a combined scoreline of 9-1 with xG showing 7.99 – 0.72. Clearly, they can get a result at home.

Unless you have been sleeping under a rock, you are probably aware how good Napoli has been this season, and on the road they have been superb.

Just two losses away in all competitions this year which came at Liverpool in the group stage and at Inter Milan in their first match back from the WC break. It is worth noting that both of those matches finished Under 2.5 goals.

How Eintracht Frankfurt Can Slow Down Napoli

Their attack has been fantastic as they have scored 56 goals in 23 matches led by Victor Osimhen who has now tallied 100 goals in his career, faster than both Ronaldo and Messi.

However, Inter and Liverpool laid out the blueprint for how to slow down Napoli and that is to simply take the air out of the match as both only played with two forwards while keeping eight men behind the ball as much as possible limiting them to nine and ten shots.

Frankfurt like to setup in a 3-4-2-1 with Kolo Muani up front which could work vs Napoli, especially if they drop their two wingers a little deeper.

Frankfurt have been able to keep three straight league clean sheets at home, granted it’s been against the bottom of the table teams, it should still provide confidence that they can do the same vs Napoli.

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Napoli Prediction

Frankfurt absolutely needs a result at home vs Napoli and their best chance to get that is to slow the pace down.

Napoli have been great on the road but even better at home and if Frankfurt fall behind after leg 1, you can all but scratch Napoli’s name into the quarterfinal. Expect this to play out cautiously.

Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals Scored +105

Soccer Betting Tips

New to betting on soccer? Not familiar with all the wagering options, such as three-way betting and the Asian handicap? What stats should a novice soccer bettor focus on? What are some basic soccer betting tips and strategies? Carmine Bianco and Nick Borrman joined Kelly Stewart to share some tips to novice soccer bettors.

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About The Author

Nick Borrman fell in love with professional ‘football’ (as anyone outside of the United States would refer to it) the first time he attended an MLS game seven years ago.

Now, he uses statistical analysis as well as current trends to successfully find value on soccer matches across the globe.

Borrman focuses much of his attention on the Premier League, La Liga, Ligue 1, Bundesliga and Serie A, as well as the most prestigious tournament of them all, the Champions League.

Of course, you can’t forget the fast-growing MLS which finishes the year-round soccer schedule through the summer months in North America.

Borrman derives many of his plays from his model forecasts and releases plays several days ahead of time to consistently beat line moves.

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