Euro 2024 Tournament Winner and Top Goal Scorer Picks and Best Bets

Predictions and Picks for Euro 2024 Winner and Top Goal Scorer!

WagerTalk soccer handicapper Kevin Dolan presents his Euro 2024 predictions and picks for the highly anticipated tournament! Which countries does he think have a shot at raising the trophy? Which player does he think will score the most goals this tournament? Read Kevin’s Euro 2024 Tournament predictions and picks below!

Euro 2024 Winner and Top Goal Scorer Preview

Euro 2024 sees five teams enter the outright betting market being priced up at single digits, with eight teams coming in at, or below, the 20/1 mark currently in what’s set to be one of the most competitive, and perhaps unpredictable, European Championships in quite some time, especially with 16 teams now progressing through to the knockout rounds.

England enters the market as the outright tournament favorites at current odds of +350. Recent World Cup finalists France come in as second favorites at odds of +450, with hosts Germany going in as third favorites at +500, and finally Portugal fourth at +700. Rounding out the last of the single-digit favorites is Spain at a consensus +800 right now at most books.

The other three teams on the cusp of being just outside of that top group are defending champions Italy at +1600, the Netherlands priced up also at +1600 odds, and finally Belgium at a best price of +2000.

Below we’re going to go through our selections for the upcoming tournament in both the outright winner market and top goalscorer market, as well as adding in some great value long shots.

Euro 2024 Winner Prediction

In terms of outright betting options for this tournament, we’re going to immediately eliminate the top two favorites in this market.

Both England and France are deserved favorites to win this competition given their unmatched starting elevens, but the problem lies in that if this tournament progresses as it is expected to, then it’s likely England and France will meet each other in the semi-final of this competition.

That takes both of those out of the equation in terms of a futures pick as that would effectively be a pick ‘em game should it take place later in the tournament.

Germany at third are an interesting selection given they’ll potentially be on the weaker side of the draw, and they do have massive home support to fall back on as well.

However, while I do think Julian Nagelsmann is an elite coach and that he can bring out the best in these German players, for me, they just don’t have enough strength in depth to rival the best teams in this competition.

That brings us on to fourth favorites Portugal who look like the best outright value to lift this trophy come July, just as they managed to do back in 2016.

The Portuguese not only have a star-studded roster that predominately operates in the English Premier League, they also find themselves, if all goes according to plan, on the easier side of the draw, potentially avoiding the two big favorites of England and France in the semi-finals and not having to play a single group stage winner until the last four of this competition either.

In terms of a bigger priced selection, Belgium looks like decent value here at odds of +2000. The Golden Generation may be all but over now for the Belgians, but so has the added pressure that goes along with it, and in former RB Leipzig manager Domenico Tedesco, they have a very tactically astute manager who is arguably an upgrade from Roberto Martinez, with the Red Devils record of not having lost a game since their 2022 World Cup group stage exit being testament to that.

Euro 2024 Top Goal Scorer Prediction

France’s Kylian Mbappe and England’s Harry Kane go into this market as the two clear frontrunners at odds of +450 and +550 respectively, and it’s very little surprise either given both teams are expected to go deep in this competition, perhaps facing each other in the semi-finals.

Out of the two, Harry Kane looks like the better outright value, not only because of the bigger price, but also the fact that France has a much deeper attacking bench than the English do, being able to pass responsibility to proven international finishers such as Olivier Giroud and Antoine Griezmann if the need requires, something England can’t do.

That means the majority of England’s goal threat for this competition will lie firmly on Harry Kane’s shoulders, and he shouldn’t miss a minute of this tournament as a result ranking as England’s #1 target man.

However, at arguably even better value is Cristiano Ronaldo going off at sizeable odds of +1200 to be the top goalscorer in this competition. Ronaldo is almost 40 years of age and is a bit player for Portugal at this stage of his career, a big change from his former role as the star player of this Portuguese set-up.

That said, his role as a super-sub is now almost exclusively to net goals for Portugal instead of his former playmaking ability, and despite the limited number of minutes he’ll play in this competition, he showed during the recent qualifying run for Portugal just how dangerous he still is, finishing up as the second highest scorer overall with 10 goals.

With arguably the easiest group out of any of the competition favorites, with Georgia alone likely soaking up a few Portuguese goals, we like Ronaldo at the current market odds to finish as the top goalscorer in this tournament.

Euro 2024 Predictions

Euro 2024 Outright Winner: Portugal +700, Belgium +2000

Euro 2024 Top Goalscorer: Cristiano Ronaldo +1200, Harry Kane +550

Euro 2024 Group Previews:

Group A

Group B

Group C

Group D

Group E

Group F

WagerTalk Live Odds Screen

WagerTalk’s live odds screen features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track the Euro 2024 moneylines, run lines and betting percentages for all scheduled games.

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