Everton vs Fulham Prediction and Picks | Premier League Betting April 15
Everton vs Fulham Betting Preview
Sportsmemo soccer handicapper Nick Borrman gives his prediction and picks for this Everton vs Fulham Premier League match before start time at 10:00am ET Sunday, coming from Goodison Park in Liverpool, England. Fulham has lost 4-straight Premier League matches with Everton on the brink of relegation.
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Everton vs Fulham Betting Odds
| Saturday, April 15 | Premier League Betting Notes |
|---|---|
| Fulham: | +275 |
| Everton: | +105 |
| Draw: | +240 |
| Total: | 2.25 Goals (Odds Above Courtesy of DraftKings) |
| Game Time: | 10:00am ET / 7:00am PT |
Everton vs Fulham Betting Analysis
Every game matters right now for Everton as they are once again in a battle against relegation.
They are currently tied on points with Nottingham but hold the edge in goal differential and thus sit 16th in the table right now.
They are also only two points clear of Leicester and four points up on Southampton who round out the bottom four teams.
Trying to Figure Fulham Out
Fulham are in the “eh, who cares” range. Too far back of the Top-5 to contend for a European qualification for next season and well ahead of the relegation battle that Everton faces sitting 12 points ahead.
The match that did matter for them was their quarterfinal in the FA Cup against Manchester United which they lost 1-3 last month.
They have been in an ugly slide which began before that match as they have now lost five straight. My point being it’s hard to get a read on this team and what their motivation really is. Each passing game means less and less.
Data from both teams on the season shows these as two of the worst three teams in the league defensively according to xG.
Everton allows 1.80 xGA per 90 minutes which ranks 18th while Fulham come in at dead last allowing 1.94. But most of that comes when they are playing high-caliber sides as they have done a decent job against other bottom half of the table teams.
Will Both Everton and Fulham Score?
Additionally, neither team has a good offense to take advantage of one another’s poor defenses. Everton generate 1.15 xG per match, 14th in the league while Fulham are only slightly better at 1.25, ranking 13th.
Over Fulham’s last 11 matches, they have been much worse in creating chances as they have averaged only 0.86 xG per 90 with only three matches finishing over 1.0 xG.
As a direct result, the one trend that has held true for both teams is that goals are rare. The Both Teams to Score NO prop has cashed in seven of Fulham’s last ten and the same can be said for Everton who have had eight of their last 11 finish with one team getting blanked.
Everton vs Fulham Expert Prediction
Knowing that, you could also look at the total in this match and go with the Under which is currently sitting at 2.25. Of course that means your wager is only a half-winner if they game ends on two goals.
Whichever way you decide to play it, I don’t see many chances coming in the match and either option presents decent value to cash.
Prediction: Take Both Teams to Score “No” -115
Soccer Betting Tips
New to betting on soccer? Not familiar with all the wagering options, such as three-way betting and the Asian handicap? What stats should a novice soccer bettor focus on? What are some basic soccer betting tips and strategies? Carmine Bianco and Nick Borrman joined Kelly Stewart to share some tips to novice soccer bettors.
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About The Author
Nick Borrman fell in love with professional ‘football’ (as anyone outside of the United States would refer to it) the first time he attended an MLS game seven years ago.
Now, he uses statistical analysis as well as current trends to successfully find value on soccer matches across the globe.
Borrman focuses much of his attention on the Premier League, La Liga, Ligue 1, Bundesliga and Serie A, as well as the most prestigious tournament of them all, the Champions League.
Of course, you can’t forget the fast-growing MLS which finishes the year-round soccer schedule through the summer months in North America.
Borrman derives many of his plays from his model forecasts and releases plays several days ahead of time to consistently beat line moves.
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