Fulham vs Chelsea Prediction and Odds | Premier League Jan 12
Fulham vs Chelsea Betting Preview
Fulham has won three straight Premier League matches climbing to 7th in the standings with Chelsea sitting 10th at 7-4-6. WagerTalk soccer handicapper Nick Borrman breaks down the this Fulham vs Chelsea match taking place at Craven Cottage in London.
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Fulham vs Chelsea Betting Odds
| Thursday, January 12 | Premier League Betting Notes |
|---|---|
| Fulham: | +240 |
| Chelsea: | +115 |
| Draw: | +250 |
| Total: | 2.5 Goals (Odds Above Courtesy of DraftKings) |
| Game Time: | 3:00pm ET / 12:00pm PT |
Fulham vs Chelsea Betting Analysis
Another day, another loss for Chelsea, this time in embarrassing fashion, 0-4 to Manchester City with the Cityzens leaving many of their biggest stars on the bench.
That was back-to-back scoreless losses to City as they also played them Thursday in the EPL and they now have just one win in their last eight Premier League matches.
Chance Chelsea Turns Things Around?
They have really struggled to score during that run as they were blanked four times and scored more than one goal just one time which came against lowly Bournemouth.
Defensively, they have been decent though as they only allowed more than one goal just one time also which was a 1-4 loss at Brighton and includes matches vs City, United and Arsenal.
Their xG numbers back up those results are they are averaging just 0.88 xG while allowing 1.58 xGA in those eight matches.
For a club as big as Chelsea, those results are simply inexcusable, but from a betting perspective, it is worth noting that it has been a tough schedule as six of those eight teams have positive xG differentials with only Bournemouth (their lone win, 2-0) and Nottingham (1-1 draw) being the exceptions.
Fulham Faulty on Defense
So, perhaps it’s good news that they are playing Fulham here who have a negative xG differential and who’s defense has been leaky this season, allowing 27 goals which ranks #14 in the league. Perhaps this is the spot that the Blues start to get some results.
I’m willing to take a chance on the price as this is likely a spot where they are -120 or -130 favorites in the beginning of the season and the 50-cent swing seems like some good value to me.
Fulham vs Chelsea Prediction
Fulham has been in the EPL twice over the last four season as they have bounced between the EPL and 2nd tier Championship. Chelsea has won all four meetings in those two seasons and should give some good vibes going into this contest.
Prediction: Chelsea Moneyline +115
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Soccer Betting Tips
New to betting on soccer? Not familiar with all the wagering options, such as three-way betting and the Asian handicap? What stats should a novice soccer bettor focus on? What are some basic soccer betting tips and strategies? Carmine Bianco and Nick Borrman joined Kelly Stewart to share some tips to novice soccer bettors.
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About The Author
Nick Borrman fell in love with professional ‘football’ (as anyone outside of the United States would refer to it) the first time he attended an MLS game seven years ago. Now, he uses statistical analysis as well as current trends to successfully find value on soccer matches across the globe. Borrman focuses much of his attention on the Premier League, La Liga, Ligue 1, Bundesliga and Serie A, as well as the most prestigious tournament of them all, the Champions League. Of course, you can’t forget the fast-growing MLS which finishes the year-round soccer schedule through the summer months in North America. Borrman derives many of his plays from his model forecasts and releases plays several days ahead of time to consistently beat line moves.
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