Girona vs Barcelona Predictions and Picks | La Liga Jan 28
Girona vs Barcelona Betting Preview
Barcelona tops the La Liga standings sitting 14-2-1 heading into their match against Girona sitting 11th at 5-6-7. WagerTalk soccer handicapper Kevin Dolan shares his betting preview on this Girona vs Barcelona Match from Estadi Montilivi in Girona, Spain.
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Girona vs Barcelona Betting Odds
| Saturday, January 28 | La Liga Betting Notes |
|---|---|
| Girona: | +430 |
| Barcelona: | -165 |
| Draw: | +330 |
| Total: | 2.75 Goals (Odds Above Courtesy of DraftKings) |
| Game Time: | 10:15am ET / 7:15am PT |
Girona vs Barcelona Betting Analysis
League leaders Barcelona travel to north-eastern Spain on Saturday to take on mid-table Girona as they look to extend their three-point lead at the top of the table over chasing Real Madrid in Spanish LaLiga.
Girona comes off a disappointing 1-0 road loss against Villarreal on Sunday where they had an unbelievably late penalty go against them in the 101st minute of play (11 minutes deep into injury time), and are on a current run that has seen them win just one of their last four games in the league overall.
Barcelona have shutout Girona in both of their previous LaLiga meetings in this venue by 3-0 and 2-0 scorelines respectively.
Barcelona Stat Dominance
Barcelona’s stats have been absolutely electric this year, and it’s actually surprising that they only find themselves three points ahead in the title race this season.
Barcelona have allowed an insane 6 goals to opponents all year, with no other team in any of Europe’s top five leagues even ranking in single digits this season, as Barcelona continue to rank as one of the best defenses in world football right now.
Girona Need To Work On Defense
In step with Sunday’s penalty loss against Villarreal, a game in which Girona gave up two penalties overall to the hosts, Girona’s propensity for giving up soft set pieces in dangerous areas has cost them a ton of points this season.
Only three teams in the league have given up more penalties and set-piece goals combined to opponents this year than Girona have, and that’s an area Michel’s squad will need to work on if they’re going to avoid getting sucked into a relegation dogfight by the end of the season.
Girona vs Barcelona Prediction
For as good as Barcelona have been this season, especially defensively, going strictly by data in this one, there’s some small value siding with the home dog Girona here on Saturday.
Barcelona’s expected goals differential on the road this season just hasn’t been as strong as it has at home, and Girona only sit about 0.5 goals back per game from Barcelona based on those road/home form goal splits this year.
Catching a full goal head start on the home side in this one looks like the value side of the play as unbelievably, Girona sit joint 3rd alongside Real Madrid this season in terms of offensive scoring at home.
They should provide a solid test for Barcelona this weekend, a defense that while elite, has allowed 83% of all their goals this season to come on the road. Take Girona plus a full goal head start here on Saturday against Barcelona over in Spanish La Liga.
Prediction: Girona +1 (-115)
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About The Author
Soccer Betting Tips
New to betting on soccer? Not familiar with all the wagering options, such as three-way betting and the Asian handicap? What stats should a novice soccer bettor focus on? What are some basic soccer betting tips and strategies? Carmine Bianco and Nick Borrman joined Kelly Stewart to share some tips to novice soccer bettors.
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Meet the Author
‘The sharpest sports mind in Ireland’ is how one prominent newspaper dubbed Kevin Dolan after he became the first foreigner ever to win the World Series of Handicapping tournament back in 2015. “The Irishman” made his start wagering on GAA, football, soccer and boxing, all to immense success.
Since becoming a professional bettor, he has since lit up the sports betting scene in the U.S. and abroad, winning two handicapping awards and writing a best-selling book on sports handicapping named ‘The Complete Guide to Sports Betting’.
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