Juventus vs Monza Prediction and Picks | Coppa Italia Jan 19
Juventus vs Monza Betting Preview
Juventus and Coppa Italia meet in the Round of 16 with the winner playing the winner of Bologna vs Lazio. WagerTalk soccer handicapper Nick Borrman breaks down this Juventus vs Monza match before matchup time at 3pm ET from Allianz Stadium in Turin, Italy.
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Juventus vs Monza Betting Odds
| Thursday, January 19 | Coppa Italia Betting Notes |
|---|---|
| Juventus: | -175 |
| Monza: | +520 |
| Draw: | +305 |
| Total: | 2.5 Goals (Odds Above Courtesy of DraftKings) |
| Game Time: | 3:00pm ET / 12:00pm PT |
Juventus vs Monza Betting Analysis
It only took 14 minutes to snap Juventus’ ridiculous run of eight-straight clean sheet wins as Napoli thrashed Juve 5-1 on Friday.
That, coupled with AC Milan’s draw vs Lecce moves Gli Azzurri nine pints clear atop the Serie A table, but at least that run from The Old Lady has put them comfortably back in the Top-4.
While this is a Cup match, I want to mention the results of that run for Juve as they faced five teams with negative xG and actual goal differentials as only Udinese, Lazio and Inter would qualify as quality opponents.
Monza of course would fall right into the definition of a weak opponent although they are on a four-game unbeaten run. But against quality opposition on the road this season they are 0-4 vs Napoli, Roma, AC Milan and Lazio and were outscored by a ridiculous 1-12 margin, averaging just 0.65 xG per match.
Juventus vs Monza Lineup Speculation
Lineups are everything when we are talking about these Cup matches, especially midweek and sandwiched between two tough opponents like Napoli and Atalanta.
So, without having that information available to us yet, I’ll make this recommendation based on the assumption that Juventus will have a mostly full-strength squad. If so, I fully expect Juventus to bounce back here defensively after that embarrassing loss to Napoli.
Juventus has kept seven clean sheets in nine home matches this season allowing just 0.79 xG per match while Monza has been blanked in four of nine away matches, averaging just 1.00 xG.
Monza won 1-0 in their first Serie A meeting back in September, and although their upcoming Serie A matchup scheduled in just two weeks’ time would probably be a better revenge spot, this serves as a good opportunity as the Coppa Italia looks like Allegri’s best chance at hardware this season.
Juventus vs Monza Prediction
Instead of just taking Juventus and worrying about them winning by multiple goals, I’ll pair Juventus ML with Under 3.5 Goals at +115 odds. Find this selection in the Same Game or One Game Parlay sections on most American books.
Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals Scored + Juventus Moneyline +115
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Soccer Betting Tips
New to betting on soccer? Not familiar with all the wagering options, such as three-way betting and the Asian handicap? What stats should a novice soccer bettor focus on? What are some basic soccer betting tips and strategies? Carmine Bianco and Nick Borrman joined Kelly Stewart to share some tips to novice soccer bettors.
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About The Author
Nick Borrman fell in love with professional ‘football’ (as anyone outside of the United States would refer to it) the first time he attended an MLS game seven years ago. Now, he uses statistical analysis as well as current trends to successfully find value on soccer matches across the globe. Borrman focuses much of his attention on the Premier League, La Liga, Ligue 1, Bundesliga and Serie A, as well as the most prestigious tournament of them all, the Champions League. Of course, you can’t forget the fast-growing MLS which finishes the year-round soccer schedule through the summer months in North America. Borrman derives many of his plays from his model forecasts and releases plays several days ahead of time to consistently beat line moves.
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