Liverpool vs Real Madrid Predictions and Picks | UEFA Champions League Betting Feb 21

Liverpool vs Real Madrid Betting Preview

WagerTalk soccer handicapper Kevin Dolan shares his betting predictions and picks on this Liverpool vs Real Madrid UEFA Champions League match from Anfield in Liverpool, England. This will be the first of two legs in the Round of 16 between these two teams.

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Liverpool vs Real Madrid Betting Odds

Tuesday, February 21	UEFA Champions League Betting Notes
Liverpool:	+130
Real Madrid:	+200
Draw:	+230
Total:	2.75 Goals (Odds Above Courtesy of DraftKings)
Game Time:	3:00pm ET / 12:00pm PT

Liverpool vs Real Madrid Betting Analysis

Both of last season’s finalists square off in one of the ties of this year’s Round of 16 in the Champions League knockout round as Liverpool host Real Madrid in a battle of two giants on Tuesday night.

Liverpool enters the midweek clash in one of their best vein of forms of the season, rattling off two straight wins with an excellent road showing against a strong Newcastle side on Saturday arguably being one of their best performances of the season so far.

Real Madrid meanwhile came off a solid 2-0 win over Osasuna at the weekend but have been terribly inconsistent on the road this season, failing to string two or more league wins together away from home since all the way back to October.

Liverpool have failed to beat Real Madrid in European competition since 2009, failing to win any of their previous three meetings against the Spanish giants.

Los Blancos Rue Road Form

Real Madrid’s less-than-stellar road form this season has led them to fall a full eight points off the pace behind Barcelona this season in the race for the LaLiga crown.

That’s an issue that hasn’t been restricted to just their domestic form this season either, with Real Madrid banking just one win over their three Champions League group stage road matches this year, a win away from home in Scotland in which Celtic were arguably the much better team in over the opening 45 minutes as well.

Liverpool Look To Leave Domestic Problems Behind

While the Reds have no doubt struggled in the Premier League this season, their form in Europe continues to run solid, with an opening 4-1 loss against Napoli being their only blemish on an otherwise perfect record in the group, with Liverpool gaining revenge on Napoli in the final game also.

Data wise Liverpool have been extremely strong as well, with no other team in the competition registering a higher expected goal differential at home than Liverpool have this season.

Liverpool vs Real Madrid Prediction

While it’s difficult to separate Liverpool’s domestic league form this season from their European form, it’s clear that for whatever reason Liverpool generally excel in the European format, and have done across multiple seasons, including closing out their final five Champions League group games of this season on a combined 16-2 scoreline.

Real Madrid meanwhile have looked anything like their old selves away from home this season, ranking 10th and 12th respectively in both expected goals differential and defensive xGA on the road in Champions League action this year.

We’re happy to side with Liverpool at a straight pick ‘em price at home in this one to get a result at Anfield against current champions Real Madrid on Tuesday.

Prediction: Liverpool PK (-140)

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About The Author

Soccer Betting Tips

New to betting on soccer? Not familiar with all the wagering options, such as three-way betting and the Asian handicap? What stats should a novice soccer bettor focus on? What are some basic soccer betting tips and strategies? Carmine Bianco and Nick Borrman joined Kelly Stewart to share some tips to novice soccer bettors.

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Meet the Author

‘The sharpest sports mind in Ireland’ is how one prominent newspaper dubbed Kevin Dolan after he became the first foreigner ever to win the World Series of Handicapping tournament back in 2015. “The Irishman” made his start wagering on GAA, football, soccer and boxing, all to immense success.

Since becoming a professional bettor, he has since lit up the sports betting scene in the U.S. and abroad, winning two handicapping awards and writing a best-selling book on sports handicapping named ‘The Complete Guide to Sports Betting’.

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