Monchengladbach vs Bayern Expert Prediction and Picks | German Bundesliga Feb 18

Monchengladbach vs Bayern Betting Preview

Bayern has a whopping +41 goal differential in the German Bundesliga with Monchengladbach sitting 10th with 26 points overall. Sportsmemo soccer handicapper Nick Borrman breaks down this Monchengladbach vs Bayern match before start time at 9:30am ET from Borussia-Park in Mönchengladbach, North Rhine-Westphalia, Germany.

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Monchengladbach vs Bayern Betting Odds

Saturday, February 18	German Bundesliga Betting Notes
Monchengladbach:	+580
Bayern:	-260
Draw:	+465
Total:	3.5 Goals (Odds Above Courtesy of DraftKings)
Game Time:	9:30am ET / 6:30am PT

Monchengladbach vs Bayern Betting Analysis

I feel like I’ve had a solid read on Bayern this season and previewed their Champions League matchup at PSG suggesting Bayern was the side to play.

That ended up being a good suggestion as they won 1-0 but it wasn’t easy and if not for a couple of offside calls, Mbappe easily could have had the equalizer, if not winner. I bring up that result as I think this matchup sets up as a possible letdown spot for Bayern.

They could certainly still win this, and I honestly wouldn’t be surprised if they win by multiple goals, but I think the chances are good that Monchengladbach can keep this close and possibly even grab a result. Bayern left a lot on the field in that 1-0 win over PSG which will be tough to follow up.

Bayern Dominating Bundesliga

If we just look at Bundesliga numbers this should be a straightforward Bayern win. They lead the league in basically everything, and depending which site you use for xG data, are neck and neck with Union Berlin xGA, but everything else they lead the league by a wide margin.

You can look at the numbers below to see how much better they are than Monchengladbach. But it’s worth noting, although their road numbers are still better than Monchengladbach’s home numbers, it’s not by a significant amount which is another reason I like grabbing the +1.5 head start on the home side.

Monchengladbach are in poor form with just one win in their last five matches and are coming off a blowout loss to Hertha Berlin who remain in the relegation zone.

Conceding four goals to Hertha Berlin who have scored only 24 goals on the season certainly doesn’t make you feel good now facing Bayern who have scored 59 goals.

However, Monchengladbach always seem to get up for this meeting and they have been solid at home this year with a 6-1-3 record and +9 goal differential.

Monchengladbach vs Bayern Expert Prediction

There are very few teams that have success against Bayern Munich. Sure, you can find several teams with a win here or a draw there, but Monchengladbach have had a lot of success going back several years:

Monchengladbach has won or drawn each of the last four meetings.
Bayern have only three wins in the last ten H2H meetings and have covered -1.5 goals just twice.
Bayern have just six wins in the last 18 H2H meetings and have covered -1.5 goals only four times.

Combine a letdown spot, Monchengladbach’s home form and Monchengladbach’s positive results vs Bayern over the last eight years and I like them to keep this close enough to cover +1.5 goals.

Prediction: Monchengladbach +1.5 -120

Soccer Betting Tips

New to betting on soccer? Not familiar with all the wagering options, such as three-way betting and the Asian handicap? What stats should a novice soccer bettor focus on? What are some basic soccer betting tips and strategies? Carmine Bianco and Nick Borrman joined Kelly Stewart to share some tips to novice soccer bettors.

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About The Author

Nick Borrman fell in love with professional ‘football’ (as anyone outside of the United States would refer to it) the first time he attended an MLS game seven years ago. Now, he uses statistical analysis as well as current trends to successfully find value on soccer matches across the globe. Borrman focuses much of his attention on the Premier League, La Liga, Ligue 1, Bundesliga and Serie A, as well as the most prestigious tournament of them all, the Champions League. Of course, you can’t forget the fast-growing MLS which finishes the year-round soccer schedule through the summer months in North America. Borrman derives many of his plays from his model forecasts and releases plays several days ahead of time to consistently beat line moves.

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