Napoli vs Udinese Prediction and Betting Odds | Serie A Nov 12
Napoli vs Udinese Betting Preview
Napoli will head into the World Cup break on top of the Serie A table. How big will the margin be? WagerTalk soccer handicapper Kevin Dolan shares his thoughts on Saturday’s Napoli vs Udinese showdown in Italy.
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Napoli vs Udinese Betting Odds
| Saturday, November 12 | Italian Serie A Betting Notes |
|---|---|
| Napoli: | -225 |
| Udinese: | +500 |
| Draw: | +360 |
| Total: | 3 Goals (Odds Above Courtesy of DraftKings) |
| Game Time: | 9:00am ET / 6:00am PT |
Napoli vs Udinese Betting Analysis
Napoli extended its lead at the top of the Serie A table on Tuesday night with a 2-0 home win against struggling Empoli.
Two second-half goals from Hirving Lozano and Piotr Zielinski secured all three points for the home side in that one and they’ll look to follow that up here in their final game before an almost two-month league hiatus ahead of the World Cup later this month.
Udinese comes off a disappointing 1-1 draw against Spezia in midweek, a result which continued their current seven-game winless run across all competitions since the start of October. It looks like a very tall order for Andrea Sotill’s men to try and snap that streak here with the way their playing right now against the runaway league leaders on Saturday.
Udinese has not beaten Napoli across any competition in well over six years, and in Naples itself, that record gets even worse. Udinese has lost nine-straight games in this venue heading into Saturday’s matchup.
Udinese Still Robust Despite Recent Struggles
After a red-hot start to the season where Udinese won six of its opening eight games, it’s been mostly downhill for them since the start of October as they currently languish in mid-table.
However, despite their recent issues, Udinese has presented a tough obstacle for opponents this season, with no team in the league managing to come back from more losing positions than Udinese have this year. Udineses boasts one of the league’s best defensive xGA numbers over the last month as well.
Napoli’s Bench Continues To Come Up Big
While the Neapolitans struggled to break down Empoli for large parts in Tuesday’s game, their bench again came up big. Napoli’s nine goals from substitute positions this season ranks as the most out of any team across any of the top five leagues in Europe this year.
Napoli’s other major strength has been their offense this season, ranking as the No. 1 team in total scoring, total shots and offensive xG in Serie A this year.
Napoli vs Udinese Prediction
With Udinese’s obvious struggles since the beginning of October, it has to be Napoli or pass in this one on Saturday.
Napoli’s numbers absolutely dwarf Udinese’s this season on both home/road form split this year and recency bias also, with Udinese’s only positive numbers across that stretch coming from their defense.
That said, as well as they’ve been playing over recent matches, Udinese will be very fortunate indeed to keep out a Napoli offense here that has generated a league-high 2.43 goals per game this season (2.57 at home). With some -1.25 lines already beginning to pop up at the time of writing this article, getting Napoli at the widely-available -1 line here on Saturday looks like the value play this weekend against Udinese.
For more free soccer picks, check out WagerTalk’s free picks page.
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Stoppage Time | Premier League Betting Tips
The Premier League will enter its final match day before the World Cup break with Arsenal at the top of the table and Newcastle in third. Who saw those coming three months ago?! Join Carmine Bianco, Kevin Dolan, Pavlos Laguretos and Nick Borrman for Stoppage Time as we preview this weekend’s marquee matchups in the Premier League.
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Meet the Author
‘The sharpest sports mind in Ireland’ is how one prominent newspaper dubbed Kevin Dolan after he became the first foreigner ever to win the World Series of Handicapping tournament back in 2015. “The Irishman” made his start wagering on GAA, football, soccer and boxing, all to immense success.
Since becoming a professional bettor, he has since lit up the sports betting scene in the U.S. and abroad, winning two handicapping awards and writing a best-selling book on sports handicapping named ‘The Complete Guide to Sports Betting’.
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