Netherlands vs Argentina Prediction and Betting Odds | World Cup Quarterfinal
Netherlands vs Argentina Betting Preview
A likely date with Brazil awaits the winner of Friday’s Netherlands vs Argentina clash in the World Cup quarterfinals. Could this be Lionel Messi’s last international match? WagerTalk soccer handicapper Nick Borrman shares his thoughts on the matchup between European and South American heavyweights.
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Netherlands vs Argentina Betting Odds
| Friday, December 9 | World Cup Quarterfinals Betting Notes |
|---|---|
| Argentina: | +125 (-160 to Advance) |
| Netherlands: | +260 (+135 to Advance) |
| Draw: | +220 |
| Total: | 2.25 Goals (Odds Above Courtesy of DraftKings) |
| Game Time: | 2:00pm ET / 11:00am PT |
Netherlands vs Argentina Betting Analysis
The Round of 16 saw plenty of goals as six of the eight matches went over the posted total. Most of those games featured some serious mismatches as the favorite was able to advance from every matchup with the lone exception being Morocco beating Spain.
Those advancing favorites all scored multiple goals with several going over the total by themselves. As we roll into the quarterfinal and the sides become much more evenly matched, I think we see that trend reverse. With all eight of these teams now sensing that the trophy is within reach, games will get slower and tighter as each team aims to minimize any mistakes.
Lock-Down Defense
This one has all the makings of a tight, low-scoring contest and a good reason why the oddsmakers have this total set as the lowest of the four quarterfinals.
Argentina has been fantastic defensively this entire tournament. The three goals they have allowed were all unlikely goals as they continue to lead the tournament allowing a measly 4.0 shots per game with just 1.25 on goal per game.
Netherlands, meanwhile, has been stingy as well conceding just two goals in four matches. USA did generate a decent number of chances on them, especially in the second half, but that was mostly driven by the situation as the Dutch side took a two-goal lead and tried mostly to protect that as opposed to trying to hit the USA on the break like they did in the first half.
Netherlands vs Argentina Prediction
This has all the makings of a 0-0 halftime score, but even trying to grab the first half under is tough as under 1.0 is listed around -200.
The full game total is listed at 2.25 goals on the Asian handicap, with the under trading around -130. Half your wager goes on under 2.0 goals and the other half goes on under 2.5 goals. If regulation time ends with zero or one goal, we’ll win our full stake on the under. If two goals are scored, we’ll win half our stake. The only way we lose our full wager is if 3+ goals are scored in the match.
For more World Cup picks, visit WagerTalk’s free picks page.
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Stoppage Time | World Cup Quarterfinals Preview
The World Cup quarterfinals will kick off on Friday with seven teams that had high expectations and one who wants to crash the party: Morocco. Join Carmine Bianco, Kevin Dolan, Pavlos Laguretos and Nick Borrman for Stoppage Time as we preview the World Cup quarterfinals from a variety of handicapping angles.
About The Author
Nick Borrman fell in love with professional ‘football’ (as anyone outside of the United States would refer to it) the first time he attended an MLS game seven years ago. Now, he uses statistical analysis as well as current trends to successfully find value on soccer matches across the globe. Borrman focuses much of his attention on the Premier League, La Liga, Ligue 1, Bundesliga and Serie A, as well as the most prestigious tournament of them all, the Champions League. Of course, you can’t forget the fast-growing MLS which finishes the year-round soccer schedule through the summer months in North America. Borrman derives many of his plays from his model forecasts and releases plays several days ahead of time to consistently beat line moves.
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