Newcastle vs Aston Villa Prediction and Betting Odds | EPL Oct 29
Newcastle vs Aston Villa Betting Preview
Saturday’s Newcastle vs Aston Villa showdown in the Premier League will feature two resurgent teams looking to get (or in Newcastle’s case, stay) at the top-half of the EPL table. WagerTalk soccer handicapper Kevin Dolan shares his thoughts on the matchup.
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Newcastle vs Aston Villa Betting Odds
| Saturday, October 29 | Premier League Betting Notes |
|---|---|
| Newcastle United: | -120 |
| Aston Villa: | +340 |
| Draw: | +275 |
| Total: | 2.5 Goals (Odds Above Courtesy of DraftKings) |
| Game Time: | 10:00am ET / 7:00am PT |
Newcastle vs Aston Villa Betting Analysis
Will it be a case of “new manager bounce” here on Saturday as former Arsenal coach and Villarreal Europa League-winning coach Unai Emery takes over the reins at Villa Park after former boss Steven Gerrard was fired last week by the club.
Villa didn’t even wait for a new manager to take charge for a change in style as they blasted their way past Brentford this past weekend with three goals scored inside the opening 14 minutes of action. The Villains will no doubt be hoping for more of the same here again against Newcastle on Saturday.
Newcastle, for their part, has been on a monumental run this season, being one of only three clubs in the league (alongside Manchester City and Arsenal) to lose just one game all year. Newcastle has yet to lose a game at St. James’ Park, with back-to-back wins in their last two home matches.
These two teams have played remarkably close over recent seasons, registering five draws over their last ten head-to-heads meetings. Two of the last three meetings in this venue also ended in a stalemate.
Danks Still In Charge For Newcastle Game
Caretaker manager Aaron Danks will still be at the helm for Aston Villa for Saturday’s game against Newcastle as new boss Unai Emery won’t be available in time for the weekend. But that shouldn’t concern Aston Villa too much as they come off that fantastic 4-0 beatdown over Brentford this past weekend.
With optimism at the club seemingly much improved over the last week and striker Danny Ings coming off scoring a brace on Sunday against the Bees as well, Villa may well feel this is the perfect time to snap their current winless road record in the EPL this season.
Phenomenal Defense Remains Key For Newcastle
After a fantastic victory over Tottenham this past weekend, optimism at Newcastle arguably hasn’t been as high since the Kevin Keegan glory days all the way back in the late 1990s. The Magpies currently sit in a Champions League qualification spot, with Liverpool being the only team to beat them through a ridiculously late goal.
A large part of that success has come via Newcastle’s impressive defense this season, which has allowed just ten goals all year to opponents (the lowest overall tally in the league), and the data backs those numbers up also. Only West Ham is allowing less overall defensive xGA over the month of October than Newcastle has.
Newcastle vs Aston Villa Best Bet
Newcastle has been a phenomenal bet for backers all season as they continue to outperform the market consistently, winning outright as +220 underdogs last weekend against Tottenham as just one of many examples.
However, they face a resurgent Aston Villa team here on Saturday who, while the Brentford result may have just been a one-game sample size, nevertheless came out like a completely different team in that game. That confidence will no doubt grow even more with the news of Unai Emery’s imminent arrival at the club also.
We expect this to be another close, competitive game here on Saturday between two quality sides that likely ends all square once again. We’re happy to take a piece of the outright draw in this one at a healthy +275 price this weekend over in Newcastle.
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Stoppage Time | Premier League Betting Tips
After spending three years on Brighton’s sideline, Graham Potter will lead Chelsea onto the pitch against his former club this weekend. Who holds the advantage in this unique matchup? Join Carmine Bianco, Kevin Dolan, Pavlos Laguretos and Nick Borrman for Stoppage Time as we preview this weekend’s marquee matchups in the Premier League.
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Meet the Author
‘The sharpest sports mind in Ireland’ is how one prominent newspaper dubbed Kevin Dolan after he became the first foreigner ever to win the World Series of Handicapping tournament back in 2015. “The Irishman” made his start wagering on GAA, football, soccer and boxing, all to immense success.
Since becoming a professional bettor, he has since lit up the sports betting scene in the U.S. and abroad, winning two handicapping awards and writing a best-selling book on sports handicapping named ‘The Complete Guide to Sports Betting’.
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