Palermo vs Cagliari Prediction and Betting Odds | Serie B Dec 18
Palermo vs Cagliari Betting Preview
Sunday’s Palermo vs Cagliari clash in Serie B features two teams heading in slightly opposite directions in the Italian pecking order. WagerTalk soccer handicapper Kevin Dolan shares his thoughts on the matchup.
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Palermo vs Cagliari Betting Odds
| Sunday, December 18 | Italian Serie B Betting Notes |
|---|---|
| Palermo: | +185 |
| Cagliari: | +160 |
| Draw: | +200 |
| Total: | 2.25 Goals (Odds Above Courtesy of DraftKings) |
| Game Time: | 12:45pm ET / 9:45am PT |
Palermo vs Cagliari Betting Analysis
Cagliari almost survived in Serie A last season, but they are not making a convincing arguement to return to the top flight of Italian soccer at the moment. Cagliari is currently languishing down in 11th position in the table after just one win in their last eight league games.
On paper, a trip to 14th-place Palermo doesn’t look that difficult, but Palermo is playing much better as of late. After starting off the season incredibly slow, they have won three of their last seven games overall, and have lost just once at home since October 1.
The recent head-to-head meetings between the two are firmly in Cagliari’s favor, as the ‘Gli Isolani’ have gone unbeaten against Palermo since 2015, winning three of their last four.
Cagliari Enjoying Positive Attack This Year
While Cagliari may have struggled on offense against the big boys up in Serie A last season, generating less than a goal per game in that league and ranking bottom-five on offensive xG generated, they’ve had no such issues in Serie B this year.
The Islanders have notched 20 goals already this season and rank as the fifth-best team in the league on offensive xG this year.
Palermo Getting It Done On The Defensive End
Palermo has really blossomed on the defensive end this season, averaging less than a goal per game allowed to opponents this year at home, and they are arguably getting even stronger as the season has progressed. Over the last 370 minutes of competitive action inside the Stadio Renzo Barbera, Palermo has allowed just one goal.
That defensive improvement has matched well with an attack led by Matteo Brunori at the other end that owns the league’s highest striker contribution rate this season at 50-percent.
Palermo vs Cagliari Prediction
Our numbers definitely highlight some value in taking Palermo in this spot at current odds of pick ‘em on Sunday.
Cagliari ranks just 15th in the league on recent six-game road form heading into this game, generating just 1.00 points per game across that run. They have kept just two clean sheets over that stretch as well.
Palermo, meanwhile, have shown a marked improvement on defense over their last few games, especially at home. We believe they can generate yet another positive result at home here on Sunday against their island neighbors.
Take Palermo PK (-105) on Sunday to win and cover at home against Cagliari over in Italian Serie B. For more free soccer picks, check out WagerTalk’s free picks page.
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Soccer Betting Tips
New to betting on soccer? Not familiar with all the wagering options, such as three-way betting and the Asian handicap? What stats should a novice soccer bettor focus on? What are some basic soccer betting tips and strategies? Carmine Bianco and Nick Borrman joined Kelly Stewart to share some tips to novice soccer bettors.
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Meet the Author
‘The sharpest sports mind in Ireland’ is how one prominent newspaper dubbed Kevin Dolan after he became the first foreigner ever to win the World Series of Handicapping tournament back in 2015. “The Irishman” made his start wagering on GAA, football, soccer and boxing, all to immense success.
Since becoming a professional bettor, he has since lit up the sports betting scene in the U.S. and abroad, winning two handicapping awards and writing a best-selling book on sports handicapping named ‘The Complete Guide to Sports Betting’.
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