Porto vs Inter Expert Predictions and Picks | UEFA Champions League March 14

Porto vs Inter Betting Preview

Sportsmemo soccer handicapper Nick Borrman gives his prediction and picks for this Porto vs Inter UEFA Champions League match before start time at 8:30pm ET coming from Estádio do Dragão in Porto, Portugal. Inter won the first leg of this Round of 16 bout 1-0 in the UEFA Champions League.

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Porto vs Inter Betting Odds

Tuesday, March 14	UEFA Champions League Betting Notes
Inter:	+170
Porto:	+160
Draw:	+240
Total:	2.5 Goals (Odds Above Courtesy of DraftKings)
Game Time:	4:00pm ET / 1:00pm PT

Porto vs Inter Betting Analysis

I think Porto can overturn this deficit and advance here. Leg 1 was very evenly played and very chippy for that matter.

There was an unsportsmanlike yellow handed to each team in the first half before Porto grabbed three more yellows in the 2nd half, with one of those being a 2nd yellow for Otavio resulting in a red card in the 78’ minute.

It was tied 0-0 at that point and Inter was able to capitalize after that as Lukaku found the winner in the 86’ minute. Otavio is suspended for this 2nd leg which hurts Porto for sure, but they have the depth to make up for it.

Inter Performance in Serie A Play

Possession and total shots favored Inter Milan in that first leg, but shots on target was the same as well as nearly identical xG. But I don’t trust Inter Milan on the road this season.

Since Leg 1, Inter have continued their offensive struggles as they have lost two of three matches, both on the road at bad teams Bologna and Spezia, scoring just one total goal between both matches. On the road this season in Serie A, they are just 5-2-6 with a -4 goal differential.

Some of their quality opponents they have faced away this year include losses at Lazio, AC Milan and Juventus in league play, along with a loss at Bayern in the group stage and a draw vs Barcelona.

Porto Looks To Pick It Back Up

Porto lost their very next match after leg 1, at home mind you, to Gil Vicente. Home losses are very rare though as they have just three in 21 matches in all competitions this season.

The other two came against Benfica who thrashed Brugge 7-1 on aggregate last week, and then ironically, that same Brugge side I just mentioned, in the group stage.

That loss to Brugge seemed to be a fluke loss as they went into Belgium in their second meeting and won by the same 4-0 score.

Porto also have solid wins at home over Sporting and Braga in Liga Portugal as well as Leverkusen and Atletico Madrid in the group stage.

Interesting to note that Porto have scored at least two goals in every home match this season, other than those three losses.

Porto vs Inter Expert Prediction

Another factor that benefits taking the Draw No Bet line is that Inter Milan do not have to win this match to advance, they simply need to draw which could work in our favor late in the game if this match is tied.

In the three Leg 2 UCL matches last week that began with only a one goal difference on aggregate, all three were tight, low-scoring matches and this is likely to play out similarly.

So, if you are looking for a Total here, I would lean to the Under, but I like Porto on the Draw No Bet line a little more.

Prediction: Porto Draw No Bet -110 (Same as Asian Handicap +0)
(Sprinkle a little on Porto ‘To Advance’ or ‘To Qualify’ as well, currently available at +280 at DK)

Soccer Betting Tips

New to betting on soccer? Not familiar with all the wagering options, such as three-way betting and the Asian handicap? What stats should a novice soccer bettor focus on? What are some basic soccer betting tips and strategies? Carmine Bianco and Nick Borrman joined Kelly Stewart to share some tips to novice soccer bettors.

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About The Author

Nick Borrman fell in love with professional ‘football’ (as anyone outside of the United States would refer to it) the first time he attended an MLS game seven years ago.

Now, he uses statistical analysis as well as current trends to successfully find value on soccer matches across the globe.

Borrman focuses much of his attention on the Premier League, La Liga, Ligue 1, Bundesliga and Serie A, as well as the most prestigious tournament of them all, the Champions League.

Of course, you can’t forget the fast-growing MLS which finishes the year-round soccer schedule through the summer months in North America.

Borrman derives many of his plays from his model forecasts and releases plays several days ahead of time to consistently beat line moves.

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