Portugal vs Spain Predictions and Odds | UEFA Nations League Sept 27

Portugal vs Spain Betting Preview

WagerTalk soccer handicapper Kevin Dolan shares his Portugal vs Spain betting preview for Tuesday, September 27 as part of the UEFA Nations League. The last five matches between these border rivals have all been tied after 90 minutes. Will we see a similar deadlock as two of Europe’s best prepare for the upcoming World Cup?

Portugal vs Spain Betting Odds

Tuesday, September 27	UEFA Nations League Betting Notes
Portugal:	+130
Spain:	+220
Draw:	+225
Total:	2.25 Goals (Odds Above Courtesy of DraftKings)
Game Time:	2:45pm ET / 11:45am PT

Portugal vs Spain Betting Analysis

Two of the top teams in Group A2 clash on Tuesday as second-place Spain takes on group leaders Portugal over in the Estadio Municipal de Braga in the north of the country.

Portugal has been dominant at home over this campaign so far, securing two victories from two in the group with both by multiple-goal margins.

Spain, for their part, has won two of their last three games overall and are undefeated on the road in this group as well, although they do come off a disappointing 2-1 home loss to Switzerland over the weekend.

Spain’s Possession-Based Football Failing To Pay Off

Spain’s unique brand of patient, possession-based football has been a hallmark of theirs for well over a decade now, but it’s been failing to pay dividends for them in this campaign as they’ve secured just two wins from their five group games.

Spain has dominated possession in this group so far, putting up a 66.9% average (68.2% on the road) with an 89.4% pass accuracy rating to boot also, both of which are No. 1 in the league.

However, manager Luis Enrique’s insistence on not using a dedicated No. 9 striker has made those stats worth little. Portugal has netted almost double the number of goals from open play as Spain has over this campaign so far, despite the disadvantage in possession and passing that the Spanish have enjoyed.

Portugal Continues To Get It Done At Home

It’s now been seven wins from their last eight at home overall for Portugal heading into Tuesday’s matchup and the Selecao have bagged multiple goals in each of those wins as well with their offense continuing to run hot.

Portugal has dominated the offensive stats over this campaign so far, ranking as the only team to register double-digit goals in the group, ranking No. 1 with the highest shots on target (almost double that of Spain yet again), and scoring in 12-straight home games also entering Tuesday’s matchup.

Portugal vs Spain Prediction

The outright draw is always in play between these two international heavyweights and at a healthy price of +225, it could well be worth another look here on Tuesday as well.

Outside of that, the over 2.25 goals looks appealing also in this one.

Luis Enrique seems to have learned his lesson from the game against Switzerland this past weekend, calling it the worst display he’s seen since taking charge of the national team first back in 2018.

Paramount to that is a lack of attacking threat as Spain looked toothless in front of goal on Saturday against Switzerland. That should be addressed here as anything other than a win in this one for Spain would see Portugal move on to the playoffs at the expense of the Spanish in this year’s tournament.

If Spain does end up pushing the offensive button here they should be punished at the other end by a Portugal side that has been absolutely ruthless in attack over the last few years and we expect both teams to find the back of the net in this one.

Recent trends point towards the draw being good value once again at +225, but our main play in this one will focus on the over 2.25 goals on Tuesday between Spain and Portugal in Braga.

Soccer Betting Tips

New to betting on soccer? Not familiar with all the wagering options, such as three-way betting and the Asian handicap? What stats should a novice soccer bettor focus on? What are some basic tips and strategies? Carmine Bianco and Nick Borrman joined Kelly Stewart to share some tips to novice soccer bettors.

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Meet the Author

‘The sharpest sports mind in Ireland’ is how one prominent newspaper dubbed Kevin Dolan after he became the first foreigner ever to win the World Series of Handicapping tournament back in 2015. “The Irishman” made his start wagering on GAA, football, soccer and boxing, all to immense success. Since becoming a professional bettor, he has since lit up the sports betting scene in the U.S. and abroad, winning two handicapping awards and writing a best-selling book on sports handicapping named ‘The Complete Guide to Sports Betting’.

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