Premier League Predictions, Picks and Odds - EPL Best Bets For April 27-28

EPL Betting Preview Including Predictions and Odds

WagerTalk Premier League handicapper Kevin Dolan presents his Premier League prediction preview heading int April 27-28 matches. He gives betting previews for key matches including Luton vs Wolves and Aston Villa vs Chelsea. Which teams is he looking to pick up points and which will have goals being scored? Read his betting preview now!

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Luton vs Wolves | April 27 | 10:00am ET

Luton +155 | Wolves -105 | Draw +285

Luton travels to the west midlands on Saturday afternoon looking to snap a recent two-game losing streak that if they don’t find a way to break out of soon, will no doubt see them demoted back down to the Championship for next season.

Wolves meanwhile have no such safety concerns in the league nestled in mid-table as they are, a fact that has no doubt added to their recent mediocrity in the league, not having won a single game in the Premier League in almost two months.

Wolves and Luton played out a 1-1 draw down at Kenilworth Road back in September, a game that the Hatters could count themselves a little fortunate in considering Wolves played that game with 10 men for most of the match, with Luton benefitting from a penalty also.

However, on the road this season, Luton has been markedly worse, allowing 15% more goals on average than they have done at home, as well as noticing a significant drop off in scoring.

Wolves have lost three straight games at home heading into this matchup, but those were all against teams residing in the top half of the league table.

Luton are a long way from that, and with the league’s worst defensive record away from home this season, a tally that has got even worse for them across 2024, along with four straight defeats on the road as well, we’re expecting Wolves to get the job done at home on Saturday.

Premier League Prediction: Wolves ML (-105)

Aston Villa vs Chelsea | April 27 | 3:00pm ET

Aston Villa +120 | Chelsea +195 | Draw +290

Chelsea have continued to improve as the season has worn on, with only the big three of Manchester City, Arsenal, and Liverpool generating more expected points in the league since January 1st than Chelsea have.

Unfortunately, that mattered little for Chelsea on Tuesday as they were summarily dispatched by rivals Arsenal 5-0 in an absolute rout, a result that snapped Chelsea’s impressive eight-game unbeaten streak in the league.

Aston Villa meanwhile are back in buoyant form again after two extremely solid results against Arsenal and Bournemouth respectively in the league, scoring five goals themselves across those two games.

Diaby and Watkins continue to be major threats for Villa going forward, and this might be a good opportunity for them to get sharp once again ahead of their crunch tie against Olympiacos in the Europa Conference League semi-finals next week.

And that’s key as with no other English teams currently competing in Europe, in either the Champions League or Europa League semi-finals, those top four places become ever more important in the EPL, a fact that Aston Villa will no doubt be keenly aware of.

While Chelsea has no doubt improved across 2024 as a whole, there’s no denying that Villa at home this season has been one of the best teams in the league, and even with a big Europa Conference League matchup on the horizon for them, we’ll back the Villains to take all three points at home in this one.

Premier League Prediction: Aston Villa -0.25 (-105)

Bournemouth vs Brighton | April 28 | 9:00am ET

Bournemouth +125 | Brighton +195 | Draw +280

Two teams locked in mid-table clash on Sunday with just one point separating them in the league table as Bournemouth host Brighton over at the Vitality Stadium this weekend.

The two clubs, however, have taken markedly different paths in order to get to this point, with Bournemouth languishing near the bottom of the table pre-Christmas, being just one place above the relegation zone heading into December, while Brighton were still challenging for European places at that stage, and still heavily involved in the Europa League as well.

Skip forward a few months however and what a difference it’s been for both clubs, with Andoni Iraola proving his doubters wrong and instigating a remarkable turnaround across the back half of the season, with the Cherries ranking as the 4th best team in the league behind only the heavyweights of Manchester City, Arsenal, and Liverpool in terms of expected points accumulated since January 1st, while Brighton’s numbers have actually gone the other way, dropping off a cliff in terms of competitiveness across that same time frame.

The Seagulls own a miserable 23.1% win rate since the start of the calendar year, ranking second-from-bottom in scoring and rock bottom in terms of offensive xG also, with April being especially tough for them as Brighton have netted just one goal in total this month compared with next worst Luton at four goals.

All signs point to Bournemouth in this one, so we’re happy to take them at the current quarter-goal handicap line on Sunday.

Premier League Prediction: Bournemouth -0.25 (-110)

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