Premier League Predictions, Picks and Odds – EPL Best Bets For May 11-12
Premier League Betting Preview Including Predictions and Odds
WagerTalk Premier League handicapper Kevin Dolan presents his Premier League prediction preview heading into May 11-12 matches. He gives betting previews for key matches including Fulham vs Manchester City and Manchester United vs Arsenal. Which teams is he looking to pick up points and which will have goals being scored? Read his betting preview now!
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Fulham vs Manchester City | May 11 | 7:30AM ET
Fulham +1100 | Manchester City -445 | Draw +585
Manchester City will finally look to eliminate Liverpool from the title race once and for all with another victory against Fulham this weekend in the early kick-off game in the EPL.
That will just leave Arsenal to contend with then ahead of Tuesday’s final road trip of the campaign to take on Tottenham down in the English capital.
Manchester City are heavily favored to beat all three London teams to close out the season and become champions for the 10th time in their history, six of which have come in just the last seven years.
That said, the Cityzens can ill afford to overlook any of these teams across the final couple of weeks, especially Fulham, who rank top ten in the league in home form this season.
The line on this game has moved from an opener of -1.75 on Manchester City up to the current line of -2 at the time of writing, and that honestly appears a little high here seeing as Manchester City don’t need any style points in this game, and Fulham rank as a top-five team in goals allowed at home this season as well.
Fulham haven’t been beaten by more than two goals in five of their last six meetings at Craven Cottage against Manchester City, covering three of those five games as well. This line seems set too high here on Saturday and we’re happy to side with Fulham +2 on the handicap line.
Premier League Prediction: Fulham +2 (-130)
West Ham vs Luton | May 11 | 10:00AM ET
West Ham -125 | Luton +285 | Draw +330
After giving up five goals against both fellow London rivals Crystal Palace and Chelsea across recent games, it’s fair to say that the Hammers are in some of their worst form of the campaign so far, currently winless in five straight games at the London Stadium.
Only Sheffield United and Tottenham have accumulated fewer total points in the league across their last five starts than West Ham have, as the Hammers have won just one of their last ten matches across all competitions as well.
However, that may change ahead of this one as West Ham looks to send off boss David Moyes on a high note in what will be his final home game in charge of the Hammers. Moyes, who guided West Ham to a Europa Conference League title last year, is officially stepping down after a highly successful spell at the club, taking them from 17th in the table when he took over, to a team that has been consistently challenging for European places over the last few seasons.
The Hammers take on a Luton side in this one that has all but run out of chances right now and who badly needs a win on Saturday to have any chance of survival. The Hatters currently sit three points adrift of Nottingham Forest in the table, but own a wildly inferior goal difference to the men from the east midlands, so they’ll need to go above and beyond that three-point mark in order to ensure safety in the league.
The good news for Luton fans however is that Forest faces an in-form Chelsea side this weekend, but nonetheless only need one more to win to effectively sink Luton on the season.
East London should be out in full voice for David Moyes’ final home game on Saturday against a Luton side that desperately needs a win. This game could well end up in a stalemate as a result.
Premier League Prediction: Draw (+330)
Manchester United vs Arsenal | May 12 | 11:30AM ET
Manchester United +590 | Arsenal -260 | Draw +445
One of the biggest rivalries in English sports over the last 30 years or so, Arsenal will take on Manchester United at Old Trafford on Sunday looking to keep their Premier League title hopes alive for at least another week with a victory in this one.
Arsenal are coming off four straight victories in the league, but that’s done little to dent Manchester City’s advantage at the top of the table as the Cityzens haven’t lost a single game in the league across the whole of 2024.
Still, hope remains for Arsenal with City yet to play three games in the league, however, that optimism will likely be dulled by the fact that Arsenal owns a less-than-stellar record inside Old Trafford across recent seasons, winning just once here since 2015 (W1, D4, L4).
Manchester United meanwhile are in absolute turmoil right now, coming off a 4-0 hammering at the hands of Crystal Palace on Monday, as well as ongoing drama between the players and the coach also.
However, like we’ve seen against Liverpool in recent weeks, Manchester United are always capable of raising their game when it comes to taking on main rivals in the league, especially at home, so despite all the current issues at the club, we wouldn’t be in any rush to oppose United here given their incredibly strong home head-to-head record against Arsenal across recent seasons.
+443 looks like a huge price on the draw in this one considering it’s hit in two of the last five meetings between the teams in this venue, and we’re happy to stick some money on that result as United looks to ruin Arsenal’s title hopes in what will be their penultimate home game of the season.
Premier League Prediction: Draw (+445)
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