Premier League Predictions, Picks and Odds – EPL Best Bets For May 3-5
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Premier League Betting Preview Including Predictions and Odds
WagerTalk Premier League handicapper Kevin Dolan presents his Premier League prediction preview heading into May 3-5 matches. He gives betting previews for key matches including Luton vs Everton and Manchester City vs Wolves. Which teams is he looking to pick up points and which will have goals being scored? Read his betting preview now!
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Luton vs Everton | May 3 | 3:00PM ET
Luton +160 | Everton +160 | Draw +260
Everton are free and clear of the relegation zone after putting together three straight victories on the bounce and manager Sean Dyche can finally breathe easy after a season that’s not only had his team battling the drop, but also battling financial regulations as well.
That isn’t the case for the home side Luton on Friday however, with the newly promoted Hatters in desperate danger of going right back down should they fail to secure a result over their next few games.
With their main rivals in terms of escaping the relegation dogfight, Nottingham Forest, facing bottom-of-the-table Sheffield United this weekend, Luton needs to ensure that they make the most out of facing a largely unmotivated Toffees side on Friday.
However, must-win scenarios aren’t always as straightforward as they appear to be, as that extra added pressure can often lead to mistakes, and Luton are a team that can ill afford that as they’ve already allowed the second-most goals in the league this season behind only Sheffield United.
Everton haven’t been at their best away from home this season, not having won a game outside of Goodison Park across the calendar year so far.
That said, Luton are a team in some absolutely horrendous form right now, giving up five goals against Brentford in their last home start, so while not a play that we’ll be rushing to the window to make, it’d be Toffees or pass for us in this one.
Premier League Prediction: Everton PK (-110)
Manchester City vs Wolves | May 4 | 12:30PM ET
Manchester City -1225 | Wolves +2275 | Draw +1200
A fixture that has surprisingly been far more entertaining than it has any right to be across recent years, with Wolves famously doing the double over Manchester City back in the 2019/20 season, and then beating them once again this past September via a 2-1 win inside the Molineux.
That last result was served with a huge dose of irony as well, as in the pre-game breakdown, Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola failed to remember Wolves’ forward Hwang Hee-Chan’s name, dismissively referring to him as ‘The Korean Guy’, a slight that mustn’t have gone down too well as Hwang Hee-Chan then went on to score the winner in that game and hand Wolves all three points in the process.
For that to happen here again on Saturday, both Wolves to win and Hwang Hee-Chan to score, is paying out at a massive 40/1 currently, and there are honestly worse ways to use your money as Chan popped up yet again with another goal last weekend against Luton.
That said, Manchester City are favorites in this game for a reason, chasing down their sixth title in seven years, and they can ill afford to slip up here given how close Arsenal are to them in the table.
However, even taking away all the ironic magic of what Wolves have been able to achieve against City in recent seasons, this line is simply too high based on underlying data, with Wolves owning one of the weakest home-field advantages in the Premier League this season, meaning a trip on the road barely moves the needle in terms of potentially downgrading them.
This ‘must-win’ tax is simply too high on Manchester City this weekend, and we’re happy to take Wolves catching +2.5 on Saturday, with perhaps a sprinkle on that 40/1 double we highlighted earlier.
Premier League Prediction: Wolves +2.5 (-115)
Liverpool vs Tottenham | May 5 | 11:30AM ET
Liverpool -215 | Tottenham +445 | Draw +415
In what’s been an incredible season overall for Liverpool, the last couple of weeks have definitely put a major dampener on things, pretty much eliminating the Reds from title contention, as well as getting dumped out of the Europa League also.
Jurgen Klopp’s imminent departure from the club hasn’t helped matters either, but at least in incoming replacement Arne Slot, Liverpool will have a proven winner taking over who was responsible for guiding Dutch side Feyenoord to the Eredivisie title last year, as well as having solid runs in European competition also.
Tottenham meanwhile have their main guy in Ange Postecoglou, who enjoyed a mightily impressive opening to the season, before tapering off midway through due to a high injury count among his thin roster.
In terms of this game, Tottenham will look to keep pace for that top-four spot in the table, something that could effectively be decided before this game depending on what happens in Thursday’s derby against Chelsea. Liverpool meanwhile may be slightly less motivated here, and given their current form of just one win across their last five Premier League games, it’s difficult to trust them at massive odds here to suddenly snap out of that, even at Anfield.
We believe the better value lies in Spurs potentially spoiling the party on Sunday, and coming out with a draw in this one, something they achieved in this very same venue almost two years to the day.
Premier League Prediction: Draw (+425)
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