Premier League Preview, Predictions and Picks - EPL Betting Preview For March 9-11

EPL Betting Preview Including Predictions and Props

WagerTalk Premier League handicapper Kevin Dolan presents his Premier League prediction preview heading into March 9-11 matches. He gives betting previews for key matches including Wolves vs Fulham and Chelsea vs Newcastle. Which teams is he looking to pick up points and which will have goals being scored? Read his betting preview now!

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Wolves vs Fulham | March 9 | 10:00am ET

Wolves +155 | Fulham +170 | Draw +250

Fulham take on Wolves over at the Molineux on Saturday with only three points currently separating both teams as they remain stuck in mid-table.

Fulham however have been in the better recent form of the two teams heading into this weekend’s matchup, winning three of their last four league games outright, which included two excellent performances against both Manchester United and Brighton as well.

Wolves have also won three of their last four games outright as well, but one of those victories came in the FA Cup with their last showing against Newcastle on the weekend seeing them come out on the wrong side of a lopsided 3-0 defeat.

Despite being on a solid recent run of form of late, Fulham’s road results as a whole this season have been far less desirable, as outside of that 2-1 victory against Manchester United two weeks ago, Fulham has won just one other game away from home all season, a result that came all the way back on the very first day of the season in August.

Wolves meanwhile have been an extremely dependable team at home this season for the most part, losing only four of their 13 games inside the Molineux, and owning a terrific head-to-head record against Fulham in this venue as well, with the Cottagers failing to register a single win across any of their last 14 visits here this century (W0, D5, L9).

Take Wolves on the draw no bet line (pick ‘em) on Saturday to get a result at home against Fulham.

Premier League Prediction: Wolves PK (-115)

Aston Villa vs Tottenham | March 10 | 9:00am ET

Aston Villa +135 | Tottenham +170 | Draw +305

Tottenham will aim to make their extra game in hand against Aston Villa count on Sunday as they look to close the current five-point deficit on the hosts this weekend in order to secure that vital Champions League spot in 4th.

However, they face an Aston Villa side on Sunday who, bar a recent blip, have been outstanding at home this season, boasting a 77% win rate overall for an average of 2.38 PPG generated in Birmingham, the 4th highest mark in the league.

One angle Tottenham may find success in this fixture however is in exploiting Villa’s less-than-stellar defense this season, which has seen the Villains keep a clean sheet in just one of their last six home games overall, as well as allow 1.37 xGA per game at home on average also.

Tottenham’s games have seen the highest Over 2.5 goals percentage hit this season at a pretty astounding 81% clip, with Aston Villa’s games also ranking inside the top three at 74% on average as well.

When we increase that tally to Over 3.5 goals and focus on home/road form specifically, we can see that 58% of Tottenham’s road games have seen Over 3.5 goals scored, as well as 69% of Aston Villa’s home games also.

With a combined 63.5% hit rate on the over this season, the Over 3.5 goals prop looks like a solid play in this one for Sunday.

Premier League Prediction: Over 3.5 (-107)

Chelsea vs Newcastle | March 11 | 4:00pm ET

Chelsea -115 | Newcastle +270 | Draw +310

A difficult game to predict on Monday as two inconsistent teams in Newcastle and Chelsea clash over in West London to cap off this week’s EPL slate.

Chelsea have won just one of their last five games overall, but are unbeaten in three, while Newcastle have W2, D2, L1 of their last five league games also.

Chelsea definitely owns the head-to-head advantage in this series, winning nine of the last ten league meetings between these two teams at Stamford Bridge, but that matters little here as Chelsea’s last victory in this series came all the way back in March of 2022.

With so much uncertainty surrounding the match line, we’re instead going to focus on the prop markets for this one, and more specifically the corners market in particular.

Newcastle’s road games have been especially profitable this season in terms of corners, with the Magpies sitting with the second lowest rate of corners away from home this season, as well as the lowest overall percentage in terms of going over the standard line of 9.5 as well (38%).

Chelsea too haven’t exactly been corner machines this season either, ranking joint-5th from bottom in terms of overall corner rate at home this year, with just 42% of their home games this season seeing 11 or more corners take place.

That again is a combined strike rate of just 36.5% for Over 10.5 corners in this game, so we’re quite happy to take a piece of the under on Monday down in the English capital.

Premier League Prediction: Under 10.5 Corners (-142)

Stoppage Time | Weekly Soccer Preview

Join Carmine Bianco, Kevin Dolan, Nick Borrman, Bryan Power and Pavlos Laguretos for Stoppage Time every Thursday breaking down betting angles across the European soccer schedule including possibly matches in Premier League!

WagerTalk Live Odds Screen

WagerTalk’s live odds screen features up-to-the-minute lines from a variety of offshore and domestic sports books. Track the Premier League moneylines, run lines and betting percentages for all scheduled games.

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