Real Madrid vs Liverpool Expert Predictions and Picks | UEFA Champions League March 15

Real Madrid vs Liverpool Betting Preview

Sportsmemo soccer handicapper Nick Borrman gives his prediction and picks for this Real Madrid vs Liverpool UEFA Champions League match before start time at 4:00pm ET coming from Santiago Bernabéu Stadium in Madrid, Spain. Real Madrid poured in five goals during the first leg of their Round of 16 match against Liverpool.

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Real Madrid vs Liverpool Betting Odds

Wednesday, March 15	UEFA Champions League Betting Notes
Liverpool:	+180
Real Madrid:	+130
Draw:	+295
Total:	3 Goals (Odds Above Courtesy of DraftKings)
Game Time:	4:00pm ET / 1:00pm PT

Real Madrid vs Liverpool Betting Analysis

With a club like Liverpool, even though they are clearly having a down season, you can’t say it’s over yet, but they face an almost insurmountable task of reversing a 2-5 aggregate score as the travel to the Bernabeu for leg 2 against the defending champs.

Liverpool raced out to a 2-0 lead and for a moment, there was belief that maybe Liverpool could put their Premier League woes behind them and play at another level in the Champions League. But then reality set in as they conceded five unanswered goals in a span of just 46’ minutes.

A quick look at the stat sheet doesn’t show much of a difference between the sides. About dead even possession and both with only nine shots, although Madrid was able to get six on target compared to just four for Liverpool.

Even xG was close and actually in Liverpool’s favor at 1.9 to 1.7 according to fbref.com. The difference was how clinical Madrid were with their chances as both Vinicius Junior and Karim Benzema each scored a brace plus assisted on one of each other’s goals as well.

Real Madrid Fueled by Key Players

Vinicius Junior has really blossomed into his own and now has 19 goals in all competitions this season plus an additional 11 assists. Then of course Benzema who always has a knack for scoring big goals especially in this competition.

He has tallied 18 goals this season plus five assists even though he has missed 13 games for various injuries and rest reasons including missing this past weekend’s game against Espanyol for an ankle injury. However, it’s being reported that it’s not serious and he is expected to be on the field vs Liverpool.

Meanwhile Liverpool have been the opposite as the team ranks as the 3rd biggest underperformer in the EPL this season scoring over eight goals less than expected and that includes their seven-goal performance vs United two weekends ago which was a +4 overperformance against expected.

Liverpool Must Improve Defense

Still, it hasn’t been their offense that has been the problem as they have scored 68 goals in all competitions, including Salah netting 21.

It’s been their defense which was been incredibly poor by their standards, although they have allowed just one goal over their last six EPL matches.

Their current run is the type of defense that we have grown accustomed to in recent years but allowing five to Madrid, three to Wolves, three to Brighton, three to Brentford, three to Man City, three to Arsenal and four to Napoli are examples of something we would have never seen from this side in the past.

Real Madrid vs Liverpool Expert Prediction

Obviously, the game script does not call for Liverpool to pack it in and try to play defense, and even if they wanted to, they clearly have shown they have not been able to do it consistently, especially against the quality clubs they have faced.

Liverpool is going to have to push the issue right from kickoff and should provide plenty of opportunities both ways in this match.

Prediction: Over 3 Goals Scored -120

Soccer Betting Tips

New to betting on soccer? Not familiar with all the wagering options, such as three-way betting and the Asian handicap? What stats should a novice soccer bettor focus on? What are some basic soccer betting tips and strategies? Carmine Bianco and Nick Borrman joined Kelly Stewart to share some tips to novice soccer bettors.

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About The Author

Nick Borrman fell in love with professional ‘football’ (as anyone outside of the United States would refer to it) the first time he attended an MLS game seven years ago.

Now, he uses statistical analysis as well as current trends to successfully find value on soccer matches across the globe.

Borrman focuses much of his attention on the Premier League, La Liga, Ligue 1, Bundesliga and Serie A, as well as the most prestigious tournament of them all, the Champions League.

Of course, you can’t forget the fast-growing MLS which finishes the year-round soccer schedule through the summer months in North America.

Borrman derives many of his plays from his model forecasts and releases plays several days ahead of time to consistently beat line moves.

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