Tottenham vs Marseille Prediction and Betting Odds | Champions League Sept 7
Tottenham vs Marseille Betting Preview
Marseille and Tottenham have each gotten out to great starts in their domestic league campaigns. Will that form carry over into the European season? WagerTalk soccer handicapper Nick Borrman shares his thoughts on Wednesday’s UEFA Champions League clash between Tottenham from the Premier League and Marseille from French Ligue 1.
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| Wednesday, September 7 | UEFA Champions League Betting Notes |
|---|---|
| Tottenham Hotspur: | -205 |
| Marseille: | +550 |
| Draw: | +360 |
| Total: | 2.75 Goals (Odds Above Courtesy of DraftKings) |
| Game Time: | 3:00pm ET / 12:00pm PT |
Tottenham vs Marseille Analysis
The Champions League group stage kicks off this week and group favorites Tottenham host French outfit Marseille to open things up on Wednesday. It’s hard to believe, but this is the first-ever meeting between the sides and both come into the match in great form as both are unbeaten on the season.
Getting Lucky in Defense?
Antonio Conte has his side off to a great start in the EPL sitting third in the table with a 4-2-0 record and 12:5 goal differential. The xG table has Tottenham ranked a little more modestly at No. 5 with a +0.82 xG differential per game.
Defense seems to be the point of worry though as they are allowing 14.3 shots per game which ranks No. 12 in the league and a far cry from the elite EPL sides like Man City allowing just 5.7, Arsenal 7.8 and Liverpool 8.7 shots per game.
Tottenham has won all three matches at home this season, though only one of those came by more than one goal, but their competition in London hasn’t been the strongest as they have hosted Fulham, Wolves and Southampton on the season.
In their toughest game of the season, Tottenham drew 2-2 at Chelsea but it took until the 90+6’ minute for them to pull even and honestly, that result felt lucky as Chelsea was the better side with better chances in that match.
Ligue 1 Leaders
Okay, technically PSG leads French Ligue 1 thanks to goal differential, but Marseille sits tied with PSG on 16 points through six matches this season and looks well on their way to locking up Champions League football once again for next year.
Ligue 1 is certainly a weaker league than the EPL, but Marseille has been impressive with five wins and one draw including keeping three straight clean sheets. They have similar xG numbers as Spurs at +0.83 per game and their three goals allowed is the best in the league.
Like Tottenham, Marseille has not faced the strongest competition so far this season with a 3-0 win at Nice their signature win thus far.
Tottenham vs Marseille Prediction
Marseille has a great chance at progressing from this group, especially if they can come into London and grab a result on Match Day 1. Tottenham is the clear favorite to advance from the group and I think that will set Marseille up to play a slower paced, defensive style as they try to steal a point and look to play on the counter. The total is set at 2.75 goals and I would lean to the under, but in case of a 2-1 result, grabbing Marseille with the one-goal head start seems like the better option.
TAKE MARSEILLE +1.0 (+100)
Stoppage Time | Champions League Match Day 1 Betting Preview
The group stage of the 2022-23 UEFA Champions League tournament kicks off on Tuesday, September 6. Join Carmine Bianco, Kevin Dolan, Pavlos Laguretos and Nick Borrman for Stoppage Time as we preview this week’s biggest matches across Europe. Can Real Madrid kick off their title defense with an impressive performance against Celtic? Join the soccer betting experts from WagerTalk and Sportsmemo as we break down this week’s Champions League action.
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Meet the Author
Nick Borrman fell in love with professional ‘football’ (as anyone outside of the United States would refer to it) the first time he attended an MLS match. Now, he uses statistical analysis as well as current trends to successfully find value on soccer matches across the globe. Borrman focuses much of his attention on the Premier League, La Liga, Ligue 1, Bundesliga and Serie A, as well as the most prestigious tournament of them all, the Champions League. Borrman derives many of his plays from his model forecasts and releases plays several days ahead of time to consistently beat line moves.
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