Troyes vs Marseille Predictions and Betting Odds | French Ligue 1 Jan 11
Troyes vs Marseille Betting Preview
Marseille has won four straight matches and sit 3rd in the French Ligue 1 standings going into their match against Troyes sitting 13th and 1-2-2 in their last five games. WagerTalk soccer handicapper Kevin Dolan shares his thoughts on this Troyes vs Marseille match from Stade de l’Aube in Troyes, France.
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Troyes vs Marseille Betting Odds
Wednesday, January 11 | French Ligue 1 Betting Notes |
---|---|
Marseille: | -140 |
Troyes: | +380 |
Draw: | +300 |
Total: | 2.5 Goals (Odds Above Courtesy of DraftKings) |
Game Time: | 3:00pm ET / 12:00pm PT |
Troyes vs Marseille Betting Analysis
Third-place Marseille will look to make it three wins from three since returning from the international break this Wednesday as they take on struggling Troyes on the road, with Marseille looking to close the gap on the top two of Lens and PSG in French Ligue 1.
Marseille are currently on the longest win streak in French Ligue 1 right now and put six goals past Toulouse two weeks ago in a rout, so it’s no surprise to see them enter Wednesday’s game as fairly substantial road favorites for this one.
They face a Troyes team over in the Stade de l’Aube that comes off a solid 3-2 win over Strasbourg themselves last week, and who have shown themselves hard to beat this season as it is, with only one team managing to beat them on home soil all year.
Marseille themselves have only beaten Troyes in just one of their last five visits to the northeastern club, with a 1-1 draw the best they could muster in their last meeting here back in February of last year.
Marseille Letting Their Offense Do The Talking
The Olympians made some savvy moves in the summer transfer window, bringing in the likes of former Arsenal star frontman Alexis Sanchez on a free transfer deal, a player that has already bagged five goals for the club this season with current Arsenal midfielder Nuno Tavares also netting five goals on his current loan deal.
Therefore it’s no surprise to see Marseille dominate the offensive charts this year, with only champions PSG netting more goals and having a higher xG than Marseille have this season.
Troyes Underperforming At The Back This Year
When you’ve allowed 21 goals from open play this season, as well as averaging 14.1 shots per game to opponents also, it’s no surprise to see your defense struggle this year, with only two teams giving up more total goals on the season than Troyes currently have.
A large part of those issues stems from a defensive xGA rating for Troyes this season that sees them rank 2nd from bottom in the league, and is clearly an area manager Patrick Kisnorbo will need to focus on improving moving forward.
Troyes vs Marseille Prediction
Despite Troyes defensive issues this season, at home they’ve been much improved, with only 11 of their 33 league goals given up this year coming inside the Stade de l’Aube.
On top of that, Troyes have tended to play Marseille tight in this fixture historically, lacking the star power Marseille have up front, and have looked to grind out results against the superior team instead, often to their benefit.
Eight of the last nine meetings between the two sides in this venue have seen Under 2.5 goals scored, and we’re expecting another cagey affair here on Wednesday between the two clubs also.
Take the Under 2.5 goals (+115) on Wednesday in the French Ligue 1 matchup between Marseille and Troyes.
Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals Scored +115
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About The Author
Soccer Betting Tips
New to betting on soccer? Not familiar with all the wagering options, such as three-way betting and the Asian handicap? What stats should a novice soccer bettor focus on? What are some basic soccer betting tips and strategies? Carmine Bianco and Nick Borrman joined Kelly Stewart to share some tips to novice soccer bettors.
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Meet the Author
‘The sharpest sports mind in Ireland’ is how one prominent newspaper dubbed Kevin Dolan after he became the first foreigner ever to win the World Series of Handicapping tournament back in 2015. “The Irishman” made his start wagering on GAA, football, soccer and boxing, all to immense success.
Since becoming a professional bettor, he has since lit up the sports betting scene in the U.S. and abroad, winning two handicapping awards and writing a best-selling book on sports handicapping named ‘The Complete Guide to Sports Betting’.
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