Udinese vs Monza Expert Prediction and Picks | Serie A Betting April 8
Udinese vs Monza Betting Preview
Sportsmemo soccer handicapper Nick Borrman gives his prediction and picks for this Udinese vs Monza Serie A match before start time at 6:30am ET Saturday, coming from Stadio Friuli in Udine, Italy. Both Udinese and Monza have won nine games each in Serie A play so far this season.
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Udinese vs Monza Betting Odds
| Saturday, April 8 | Serie A Betting Notes |
|---|---|
| Monza: | +280 |
| Udinese: | +100 |
| Draw: | +250 |
| Total: | 2.5 Goals (Odds Above Courtesy of DraftKings) |
| Game Time: | 6:30am ET / 3:30am PT |
Udinese vs Monza Betting Analysis
This will be the third match between these teams this season. Udinese won the reverse fixture 2-1 back in August, but Monza got their revenge knocking out Udinese in the Coppa Italia. However, I like Udinese to make the Serie A sweep.
Udinese are coming off an ugly 0-3 loss at Bologna last weekend, but this seems like a good bounce back spot for them.
They were missing three key players for that match all due to yellow card accumulation in Perez, Becao and Walace. Perez and Walace will return for this game, but Becao will remain suspended one a two-game suspension as he has already earned 10 yellows this season.
Home Sweet Home for Udinese
Even Still, Bologna scored three goals on less shots and less xG than Udinese so you could argue it was an undeserving result.
At home though, Udinese have performed very well averaging 1.66 xG on 16.1 shots per match which ranks 5th in Serie A.
Defensively though they have been even stronger in terms of shots as they lead the league allowing just 2.8 shots on target. With Perez and Walace back in the lineup, I’m confident it will be another low number against Monza, who do not create many chances.
Monza Must Improve on Road
Monza average just 9.3 shots per match away from home this season which is the 2nd fewest in the league.
They have scored a total of 13 goals on the road which is right on their xG numbers of 1.02 per 90 minutes.
However, they’ve scored three goals twice which is skewing their numbers, as they have been held to one goal or less in ten of their 13 away matches.
Udinese vs Monza Expert Prediction
The concern I would have here is that Udinese has allowed at least one goal in ten straight home games which is crazy considering six of their opponents generated two or fewer or shots on target.
So, if you are feeling extra frisky, consider taking Udinese to win combined with both teams to score for a juicy +330 odds. Otherwise, keep it simple and just back Udinese to win the match.
Prediction: Udinese Moneyline +100
Soccer Betting Tips
New to betting on soccer? Not familiar with all the wagering options, such as three-way betting and the Asian handicap? What stats should a novice soccer bettor focus on? What are some basic soccer betting tips and strategies? Carmine Bianco and Nick Borrman joined Kelly Stewart to share some tips to novice soccer bettors.
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About The Author
Nick Borrman fell in love with professional ‘football’ (as anyone outside of the United States would refer to it) the first time he attended an MLS game seven years ago.
Now, he uses statistical analysis as well as current trends to successfully find value on soccer matches across the globe.
Borrman focuses much of his attention on the Premier League, La Liga, Ligue 1, Bundesliga and Serie A, as well as the most prestigious tournament of them all, the Champions League.
Of course, you can’t forget the fast-growing MLS which finishes the year-round soccer schedule through the summer months in North America.
Borrman derives many of his plays from his model forecasts and releases plays several days ahead of time to consistently beat line moves.
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