Wolves vs Chelsea Expert Prediction and Picks | Premier League Betting April 8
Wolves vs Chelsea Betting Preview
Sportsmemo soccer handicapper Nick Borrman gives his prediction and picks for this Wolves vs Chelsea Premier League match before start time at 10:00am ET Saturday, coming from Molineux Stadium in Wolverhampton, England. Wolves and Chelsea sit 11 points apart in the Premier League standings heading in.
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Wolves vs Chelsea Betting Odds
Saturday, April 8 | Premier League Betting Notes |
---|---|
Chelsea: | -105 |
Wolves: | +300 |
Draw: | +245 |
Total: | 2.5 Goals (Odds Above Courtesy of DraftKings) |
Game Time: | 10:00am ET / 7:00am PT |
Wolves vs Chelsea Betting Analysis
Chelsea continues to play solid “Potter-ball” even after the ex-manager’s sacking, which of course is referencing the fact that they create a ton of chances and xG but fail to convert any of that into actual goals and thus, actual results and points in the table.
Their 0-0 draw vs Liverpool on Tuesday is evidence of that at they put up over 2.0 xG while holding Liverpool to a measly 0.2. But, yet again, they didn’t win.
In breaking news, Chelsea is appointing Frank Lampard as manager for the remainder of the season. While its always worth a look on a team in the “new manager bounce” situation, this is Lampard’s 2nd go-around, and the first time didn’t go so well, so I want absolutely no parts of the Blues in this spot.
The rest of the EPL season means nothing to them. They are 14 points behind United for a Top-4 spot and they are 12 points clear of a relegation side. They can literally just put it on auto pilot the rest of the way.
Wolves Need Wins
Of course, I’m only talking about the EPL as their season now entirely rests with their results in the Champions League as they have made the quarterfinals but have a brutal matchup vs Real Madrid with Leg 1 coming on Tuesday, just four days after this match. This is as big of a lookahead spot as you will find.
Wolves on the other hand need every point they can get. They sit on 28 points which is just one point clear of Bournemouth sitting 18th in the table and currently in the relegation zone.
Crazily, there are seven teams that sit within three points of each other, all fighting against relegation, and this will likely be one of the more exciting races we have seen at the bottom of the table in many years, but I digress.
Wolves vs Chelsea Situational Play
Wolves are not a team I’m necessarily excited to back, but I fully believe it’s the right play here and at home, where they have played some of the better teams pretty tough.
They have wins over Tottenham and Liverpool in their last four home matches plus a couple tight losses to Man United 0-1 and Arsenal 0-2.
Normally, I would look into xG numbers and break down long-term results vs expected goals to try and gauge some expectations on what the teams might do in the future both in this upcoming back and long term the rest of the season.
In this case, Chelsea would clearly be the side to take. But I’m not going to do that. This play, and this match, is all situational for me.
Wolves vs Chelsea Expert Prediction
Lastly, in a very odd trend, over their last ten home games in all competitions, which includes seven EPL matches and three Cup games, Wolves have alternated wins and losses in each game, and they are coming off a loss vs Leeds in their last match.
So, if that pattern holds true… sprinkle on the moneyline!
Prediction: Wolves +0.5 and Sprinkle Some on Moneyline +295
Soccer Betting Tips
New to betting on soccer? Not familiar with all the wagering options, such as three-way betting and the Asian handicap? What stats should a novice soccer bettor focus on? What are some basic soccer betting tips and strategies? Carmine Bianco and Nick Borrman joined Kelly Stewart to share some tips to novice soccer bettors.
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About The Author
Nick Borrman fell in love with professional ‘football’ (as anyone outside of the United States would refer to it) the first time he attended an MLS game seven years ago.
Now, he uses statistical analysis as well as current trends to successfully find value on soccer matches across the globe.
Borrman focuses much of his attention on the Premier League, La Liga, Ligue 1, Bundesliga and Serie A, as well as the most prestigious tournament of them all, the Champions League.
Of course, you can’t forget the fast-growing MLS which finishes the year-round soccer schedule through the summer months in North America.
Borrman derives many of his plays from his model forecasts and releases plays several days ahead of time to consistently beat line moves.
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