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Adam Trigger

Adam Trigger

(304663) KT Wiz Suwon at (304664) LG Twins

Event:
(304663) KT Wiz Suwon at (304664) LG Twins
Sport/League:
KBO
Date/Time:
August 29, 2024 5AM EDT
Play Rating:
4%
Odds:
-115
Play:
4% – LG Twins -115
Result:
Loss
Analysis

Freddie brought up this potential scenario yesterday on Spaces of Elieser Herrnandez in relief and I'm going to play LG under that pretense here.

I've been looking for spots to “bet on” Hernandez since he arrived in Korea last month and the way the rotation played out he's not going to get a start this week.  

Hernandez pitched on Sunday at Kiwoom (I passed there since he was up against Jurado) which means his start would have been Saturday but we are to the “make up” point of the schedule and LG doesn't have a game this weekend.

There's no way LG is going to go a full week without getting innings from Hernandez so it's either this game or Friday's game and it's less likely to be Friday since LG's other import starter Deitrich Enns is set to pitch in that game.

LG likely won't win the league but the Twins are still very much in the mix to finish #2 and that's a huge difference in playoff seeding.  

I don't think the oddsmakers are taking Hernandez into consideration with this line (line reflects the starting pitching matchup here IMO) so I'll roll the dice with an LG team that I think is better than KT anyway.

Play on LG Twins -115 for 4% (or 4 units)

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