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Adam Trigger

Adam Trigger

(301) New England Patriots at (302) New York Jets

Event:
(301) New England Patriots at (302) New York Jets
Sport/League:
NFL
Date/Time:
September 19, 2024 8PM EDT
Play Rating:
4%
Odds:
-115
Play:
4% – New York Jets -6.0 (-115)
Result:
Win
Analysis

Going to lock this in now while there's still -6 out there. This is a horrible matchup for the Patriots who will struggle to do anything other than run the ball for minimal gains. 

While I do think the Titans probably should have covered for us on Sunday the Jets completely took over that game and deserved to win.

I think the Jets are on the ascent while it's very possible a bad Patriots team has hit the peak of their season with a win over the Bengals and then an overtime loss to the Seahawks. 

I still think the Pats are one of the worst teams in football, I can't see them posing a huge threat on the road on a short week.

Additional Analysis:

Went into detail on this game on Spaces currently pinned to my X page but will try to summarize here.  First, teams that played OT on Sunday and have to play on Thursday have a horrific cover percentage and it should be even tougher for a young team with a rookie coach.  It also looks like the Patriots have a banged up offensive line, their only chance here was to run the ball since they have zero downfield threat whatsoever so this is going to be a huge challenge for the Patriots to generate offense.

Jets offense has improved over the first two weeks and I could see a Jets breakout here.

Play on Jets -6 (-115) for 4% (or 4 units)

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