Broke this one down in the video below.  Willing to give North Carolina a pass for last week when they were completely unprepared against James Madison.

I think the 70 points and over 600 yards North Carolina gave up in that game has skewed the numbers into making North Carolina an underdog here in a game they should be the favorite.

Duke is 4-0 but barely beat UCONN as a -17 home favorite and Northwestern, Middle Tennessee State and Elon aren't exactly “murderers' row”.

This will be the toughest opponent for Duke so far this season and I don't think North Carolina looks past their first ACC game of the year.

Play on North Carolina +2.5 (-110) for 4% (or 4 units)