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Andrew McInnis

Andrew McInnis

(775) B.C. Lions at (776) Ottawa Redblacks

Event:
(775) B.C. Lions at (776) Ottawa Redblacks
Sport/League:
CFL
Date/Time:
August 24, 2024 7PM EDT
Play Rating:
5%
Odds:
-120
Play:
5% – B.C. Lions -120
Result:
Loss
Analysis

B.C. Lions -120…(5%) Good to -131

This is a perfect ‘Buy low, sell high’ type of game that is certainly worthy of a 5% play as we look to continue our heater in the CFL. 

The Lions started off their season on a 5-1 run, losing their first game and then looking rock solid through their next five games. They've gone through some injuries, tough scheduling spots and so on, but they now sit at 5-5 after several poor performances in a row, specifically on the offensive side of things. 

The Redblacks on the other hand, are a team that have surpassed preseason expectations, but they've also reached ‘overachieving territory’. They are 6-2-1 on the year, but I'm not impressed by some of the wins they had. Two of those being against Edmonton before they had their first win, one of them being against Winnipeg before they got their first win and when they played a good team like the Alouettes they were outright dominated, losing 47-21. I think the Lions will expose the secondary of the Redblacks and put them in uncomfortable situations that they haven't been in for several weeks. 

Nathan Rourke returned for the BC Lions last week after 2+ years of looking to land a permanent NFL job - When that didn't work out, Rourke returned to the Lions at a perfect time since they were dealing with an injury to QB Vernon Adams Jr. Rourke looked rusty in his first start, but he only had a few practices and it was his first full game played in more than two years, PLUS it was against one of the leagues BEST defences. With much more time to practice, develop chemsitry AND go over film, I'm confident that Rourke and his recievers will be able to make big plays to put up some serious numbers in Ottawa. 

for the Lions to close last week as 3-point faves against the Bombers and now only be 1 point faves on the road against the Redblacks, I'm simply not buying it. This is a SELL spot on the Redblacks and a BUY spot for the Lions. 

As much as home field advantage is good for teams, sometimes it's good for a team to go on the road to get out of a bad streak and that's exactly what will happen in this one when the Lions head to Ottawa. 

The Redblacks gave up 29 points last week in Calgary and now come home to host the Lions that will be the much hungrier team. 

Bet this Money line ASAP for a 5% wager and watch the Lions sail to a smooth victory in this buy-low spot.  

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